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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 Central Australia
South Adelaide PanthersHOME · -
81 : 772024.03.23 · 종료
Southern TigersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME88.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 89.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADES
South Adelaide PanthersAnalysis MetricsSouthern Tigers
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
+7.00 Point MarginHigher is better -15.08
182.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 193.08
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
88.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
12.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
South Adelaide Panthers
L · 98-71W · 92-81L · 76-79W · 95-66W · 74-95
Southern Tigers
L · 81-105L · 92-83L · 74-95L · 110-54L · 82-99

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.07.04South Adelaide Panthers115 : 91Southern Tigers
2026.04.18Southern Tigers90 : 118South Adelaide Panthers
2024.06.01Southern Tigers64 : 79South Adelaide Panthers
2024.03.23South Adelaide Panthers81 : 77Southern Tigers
2023.07.06Southern Tigers74 : 95South Adelaide Panthers
2023.05.06South Adelaide Panthers97 : 53Southern Tigers