경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

EFL Trophy England · Group North - 2

CreweHOME · 1.35

4 : 12026.09.23 · 종료

Aston Villa U21AWAY · 6.25

HOME · 현재 순위 -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME38.1%

DRAW30.8%

AWAY31.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 71/100

AI PICK HOME 32.4% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +16.6%

VALUE EDGE+16.6%

FAIR ODDS3.21

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION PASS 51/100 · MEDIUM RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -6.4%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -7.9%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

REST AWAY -4.2%p

MARKET HOME +52.8%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Crewe분석 지표Aston Villa U21

33.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

1.42 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.83

1.08 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 2.08

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 40.0%

3.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

71/100 MEDIUM

데이터 커버리지14.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도11.4 / 15

예측 분리도3.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME67.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승82.4%표본 34경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.5%현재 이동 -7.2%

OPEN → NOW1.46 → 1.35배당 업데이트 2026-09-22 23:52:06

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

38.1%

DRAW

30.8%

AWAY

31.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Crewe

D · 1-1D · 1-1D · 1-1D · 2-2D · 0-0

Aston Villa U21

D · 2-2W · 5-1D · 3-3L · 0-4L · 0-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.37

→

CURRENT1.35

-1.87%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.80

→

CURRENT4.96

+3.21%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN5.99

→

CURRENT6.28

+4.96%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-22 11:22:05	1.37	4.80	5.99
2026-09-22 11:32:05	1.40	4.58	5.63
2026-09-22 11:32:06	1.36	4.89	6.13
2026-09-22 11:42:04	1.37	4.80	5.99
2026-09-22 11:52:04	1.37	4.80	5.99
2026-09-22 12:02:04	1.37	4.80	5.99
2026-09-22 12:12:04	1.37	4.80	5.99
2026-09-22 12:22:05	1.37	4.80	5.99
2026-09-22 12:32:04	1.37	4.80	5.99
2026-09-22 12:42:04	1.37	4.80	5.99
2026-09-22 12:52:05	1.37	4.80	5.99
2026-09-22 13:02:06	1.37	4.80	5.99
2026-09-22 13:12:04	1.37	4.80	5.99
2026-09-22 13:22:04	1.37	4.80	5.99
2026-09-22 13:32:07	1.37	4.80	5.99
2026-09-22 13:42:04	1.37	4.80	5.99
2026-09-22 13:52:04	1.37	4.80	5.99
2026-09-22 14:02:04	1.37	4.80	5.99
2026-09-22 14:12:03	1.37	4.80	5.99
2026-09-22 14:22:04	1.37	4.80	5.99
2026-09-22 14:32:03	1.37	4.81	5.95
2026-09-22 14:32:04	1.37	4.75	6.21
2026-09-22 14:42:04	1.37	4.80	5.99
2026-09-22 14:52:04	1.37	4.80	5.99
2026-09-22 15:02:05	1.37	4.80	5.99
2026-09-22 15:12:04	1.37	4.80	5.99
2026-09-22 15:22:04	1.37	4.80	5.99
2026-09-22 15:32:03	1.37	4.80	5.99
2026-09-22 15:42:04	1.37	4.80	5.99
2026-09-22 15:52:04	1.37	4.82	5.98
2026-09-22 16:02:05	1.37	4.82	5.98
2026-09-22 16:12:03	1.37	4.82	5.98
2026-09-22 16:22:04	1.37	4.82	5.98
2026-09-22 16:32:04	1.37	4.82	5.98
2026-09-22 16:42:04	1.37	4.82	5.98
2026-09-22 16:52:05	1.37	4.82	5.98
2026-09-22 17:02:04	1.37	4.82	5.98
2026-09-22 17:12:04	1.37	4.82	5.98
2026-09-22 17:22:04	1.37	4.82	5.98
2026-09-22 17:32:04	1.37	4.82	5.98
2026-09-22 17:42:04	1.37	4.82	5.98
2026-09-22 17:52:05	1.37	4.82	5.98
2026-09-22 18:02:05	1.37	4.82	5.98
2026-09-22 18:12:04	1.37	4.82	5.98
2026-09-22 18:22:04	1.37	4.82	5.98
2026-09-22 18:32:05	1.37	4.82	5.98
2026-09-22 18:42:04	1.37	4.82	5.98
2026-09-22 18:52:05	1.37	4.82	6.06
2026-09-22 19:02:05	1.37	4.82	6.06
2026-09-22 19:12:04	1.37	4.82	6.06
2026-09-22 19:22:05	1.37	4.82	6.06
2026-09-22 19:32:04	1.37	4.82	6.06
2026-09-22 19:42:04	1.37	4.82	6.06
2026-09-22 19:52:05	1.37	4.82	6.06
2026-09-22 20:02:03	1.37	4.74	5.94
2026-09-22 20:02:04	1.38	4.93	6.22
2026-09-22 20:12:03	1.37	4.82	6.04
2026-09-22 20:12:04	1.37	4.80	6.20
2026-09-22 20:22:04	1.37	4.82	6.06
2026-09-22 20:32:04	1.37	4.82	6.06
2026-09-22 20:42:04	1.37	4.82	6.06
2026-09-22 20:52:04	1.37	4.82	6.06
2026-09-22 21:02:05	1.37	4.82	6.06
2026-09-22 21:12:04	1.37	4.82	6.06
2026-09-22 21:22:04	1.37	4.82	6.06
2026-09-22 21:32:04	1.37	4.82	6.06
2026-09-22 21:42:04	1.37	4.82	6.06
2026-09-22 21:52:04	1.35	4.96	6.28
2026-09-22 22:02:04	1.35	4.96	6.28
2026-09-22 22:12:05	1.35	4.96	6.28
2026-09-22 22:22:08	1.35	4.96	6.28
2026-09-22 22:32:08	1.35	4.96	6.28
2026-09-22 22:42:05	1.35	4.96	6.28
2026-09-22 22:52:05	1.35	4.96	6.28
2026-09-22 23:02:04	1.35	4.96	6.28
2026-09-22 23:12:09	1.35	4.96	6.28
2026-09-22 23:22:06	1.35	4.96	6.28
2026-09-22 23:32:05	1.35	4.96	6.28
2026-09-22 23:42:04	1.35	4.96	6.28
2026-09-22 23:52:06	1.35	4.96	6.28

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.23	Crewe	4 : 1	Aston Villa U21