경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

EFL Trophy England · Group South - 5

Swindon TownHOME · 1.79

0 : 22026.09.23 · 종료

Newport CountyAWAY · 3.84

HOME · 현재 순위 -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME47.2%

DRAW27.8%

AWAY25.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 72/100

AI PICK HOME 39.3% CAL

VALUE PICK DRAW +2.6%

VALUE EDGE+2.6%

FAIR ODDS3.60

GRADEC

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 62/100 · MEDIUM RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +31.7%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +23.1%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

REST EVEN +0.0%p

MARKET HOME +27.2%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Swindon Town분석 지표Newport County

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

1.50 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.33

1.42 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.50

66.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 14.3%

3.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

72/100 MEDIUM

데이터 커버리지14.3 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도13.4 / 15

예측 분리도8.3 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME51.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승50.6%표본 158경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승66.7%표본 3경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.8%현재 이동 -8.2%

OPEN → NOW1.95 → 1.79배당 업데이트 2026-09-22 23:52:10

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

47.2%

DRAW

27.8%

AWAY

25.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Swindon Town

L · 1-0L · 1-2L · 4-0W · 3-1W · 3-1

Newport County

D · 0-0D · 1-1L · 1-0L · 2-1L · 5-3

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.87

→

CURRENT1.78

-4.70%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.49

→

CURRENT3.60

+3.15%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.55

→

CURRENT3.77

+6.16%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-22 12:02:08	1.87	3.49	3.55
2026-09-22 12:12:07	1.88	3.47	3.50
2026-09-22 12:12:08	1.86	3.52	3.62
2026-09-22 12:22:10	1.87	3.49	3.55
2026-09-22 12:32:07	1.87	3.49	3.55
2026-09-22 12:42:06	1.88	3.43	3.50
2026-09-22 12:42:07	1.86	3.51	3.57
2026-09-22 12:52:08	1.87	3.49	3.55
2026-09-22 13:02:12	1.87	3.49	3.55
2026-09-22 13:12:06	1.88	3.46	3.52
2026-09-22 13:12:07	1.80	3.75	3.85
2026-09-22 13:22:08	1.87	3.49	3.55
2026-09-22 13:32:10	1.82	3.52	3.69
2026-09-22 13:42:07	1.82	3.52	3.69
2026-09-22 13:52:07	1.85	3.30	3.50
2026-09-22 13:52:08	1.81	3.55	3.72
2026-09-22 14:02:07	1.82	3.52	3.69
2026-09-22 14:12:06	1.82	3.52	3.69
2026-09-22 14:22:07	1.82	3.52	3.69
2026-09-22 14:32:07	1.82	3.52	3.69
2026-09-22 14:42:07	1.82	3.52	3.69
2026-09-22 14:52:07	1.82	3.52	3.69
2026-09-22 15:02:07	1.82	3.52	3.69
2026-09-22 15:12:07	1.82	3.52	3.69
2026-09-22 15:22:08	1.82	3.52	3.69
2026-09-22 15:32:07	1.82	3.52	3.69
2026-09-22 15:42:06	1.82	3.52	3.69
2026-09-22 15:52:08	1.82	3.52	3.69
2026-09-22 16:02:08	1.82	3.52	3.69
2026-09-22 16:12:06	1.82	3.52	3.69
2026-09-22 16:22:08	1.82	3.52	3.69
2026-09-22 16:32:07	1.78	3.56	3.80
2026-09-22 16:42:07	1.78	3.56	3.80
2026-09-22 16:52:08	1.78	3.56	3.80
2026-09-22 17:02:07	1.78	3.56	3.80
2026-09-22 17:12:07	1.78	3.56	3.80
2026-09-22 17:22:08	1.78	3.56	3.80
2026-09-22 17:32:07	1.78	3.56	3.80
2026-09-22 17:42:07	1.78	3.56	3.80
2026-09-22 17:52:08	1.78	3.56	3.80
2026-09-22 18:02:08	1.78	3.56	3.80
2026-09-22 18:12:07	1.78	3.56	3.80
2026-09-22 18:22:08	1.78	3.56	3.80
2026-09-22 18:32:08	1.78	3.56	3.80
2026-09-22 18:42:07	1.78	3.56	3.80
2026-09-22 18:52:09	1.78	3.56	3.80
2026-09-22 19:02:08	1.77	3.54	3.76
2026-09-22 19:02:09	1.79	3.58	3.82
2026-09-22 19:12:07	1.78	3.56	3.80
2026-09-22 19:22:09	1.78	3.56	3.80
2026-09-22 19:32:07	1.75	3.40	3.60
2026-09-22 19:32:08	1.79	3.60	3.81
2026-09-22 19:42:07	1.78	3.58	3.79
2026-09-22 19:52:09	1.78	3.58	3.79
2026-09-22 20:02:07	1.78	3.58	3.79
2026-09-22 20:12:06	1.77	3.54	3.76
2026-09-22 20:12:07	1.79	3.61	3.81
2026-09-22 20:22:08	1.78	3.58	3.79
2026-09-22 20:32:07	1.78	3.58	3.79
2026-09-22 20:42:07	1.78	3.58	3.79
2026-09-22 20:52:07	1.78	3.58	3.79
2026-09-22 21:02:08	1.78	3.58	3.79
2026-09-22 21:12:07	1.78	3.58	3.79
2026-09-22 21:22:08	1.78	3.58	3.79
2026-09-22 21:32:08	1.78	3.58	3.79
2026-09-22 21:42:07	1.78	3.58	3.79
2026-09-22 21:52:07	1.78	3.50	3.70
2026-09-22 21:52:08	1.78	3.60	3.81
2026-09-22 22:02:06	1.78	3.58	3.79
2026-09-22 22:12:08	1.78	3.58	3.79
2026-09-22 22:22:12	1.78	3.58	3.79
2026-09-22 22:32:13	1.78	3.60	3.77
2026-09-22 22:42:08	1.78	3.60	3.77
2026-09-22 22:52:09	1.78	3.60	3.77
2026-09-22 23:02:11	1.78	3.60	3.77
2026-09-22 23:12:15	1.78	3.60	3.77
2026-09-22 23:22:10	1.78	3.60	3.77
2026-09-22 23:32:09	1.78	3.60	3.77
2026-09-22 23:42:08	1.78	3.60	3.77
2026-09-22 23:52:10	1.78	3.60	3.77

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.23	Swindon Town	0 : 2	Newport County