경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

EFL Trophy England · Group North - 4

ChesterfieldHOME · 2.15

1 : 12026.09.23 · 종료

Port ValeAWAY · 2.75

HOME · 현재 순위 -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.9%

DRAW20.5%

AWAY10.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 70/100

AI PICK HOME 45.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +26.9%

VALUE EDGE+26.9%

FAIR ODDS1.45

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 100/100 · MEDIUM RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +36.8%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +21.4%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

REST EVEN -0.5%p

MARKET HOME +9.2%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Chesterfield분석 지표Port Vale

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

1.75 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.83

1.42 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.08

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 28.6%

3.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.3일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

70/100 MEDIUM

데이터 커버리지14.1 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도10.5 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME42.1%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승41.4%표본 174경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.0%현재 이동 +0.0%

OPEN → NOW2.15 → 2.15배당 업데이트 2026-09-22 23:52:06

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

68.9%

DRAW

20.5%

AWAY

10.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Chesterfield

W · 2-0W · 5-3W · 1-2D · 3-3D · 1-1

Port Vale

L · 2-0W · 1-0L · 1-0L · 3-1D · 0-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.18

→

CURRENT2.16

-0.87%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.57

→

CURRENT3.63

+1.55%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.74

→

CURRENT2.76

+0.57%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-22 12:12:04	2.18	3.57	2.74
2026-09-22 12:22:05	2.15	3.30	2.75
2026-09-22 12:22:06	2.18	3.61	2.74
2026-09-22 12:32:05	2.18	3.57	2.74
2026-09-22 12:42:04	2.18	3.57	2.74
2026-09-22 12:52:05	2.18	3.57	2.74
2026-09-22 13:02:06	2.18	3.57	2.74
2026-09-22 13:12:04	2.18	3.57	2.74
2026-09-22 13:22:05	2.18	3.57	2.74
2026-09-22 13:32:07	2.18	3.57	2.74
2026-09-22 13:42:04	2.18	3.57	2.74
2026-09-22 13:52:04	2.18	3.57	2.74
2026-09-22 14:02:04	2.18	3.57	2.74
2026-09-22 14:12:03	2.15	3.30	2.75
2026-09-22 14:12:04	2.18	3.61	2.74
2026-09-22 14:22:04	2.18	3.57	2.74
2026-09-22 14:32:04	2.18	3.57	2.74
2026-09-22 14:42:05	2.18	3.57	2.74
2026-09-22 14:52:04	2.15	3.59	2.72
2026-09-22 14:52:05	2.19	3.56	2.76
2026-09-22 15:02:05	2.18	3.57	2.74
2026-09-22 15:12:04	2.18	3.57	2.74
2026-09-22 15:22:04	2.17	3.54	2.73
2026-09-22 15:22:05	2.18	3.69	2.79
2026-09-22 15:32:04	2.18	3.57	2.74
2026-09-22 15:42:04	2.18	3.57	2.74
2026-09-22 15:52:04	2.15	3.60	2.73
2026-09-22 15:52:05	2.18	3.56	2.75
2026-09-22 16:02:05	2.18	3.57	2.75
2026-09-22 16:12:03	2.15	3.60	2.73
2026-09-22 16:12:04	2.18	3.56	2.75
2026-09-22 16:22:04	2.18	3.57	2.75
2026-09-22 16:32:04	2.18	3.57	2.75
2026-09-22 16:42:04	2.18	3.57	2.75
2026-09-22 16:52:05	2.18	3.57	2.75
2026-09-22 17:02:05	2.18	3.57	2.75
2026-09-22 17:12:04	2.18	3.57	2.75
2026-09-22 17:22:04	2.18	3.57	2.75
2026-09-22 17:32:04	2.18	3.57	2.75
2026-09-22 17:42:04	2.18	3.57	2.75
2026-09-22 17:52:05	2.18	3.57	2.75
2026-09-22 18:02:05	2.18	3.57	2.75
2026-09-22 18:12:04	2.18	3.57	2.75
2026-09-22 18:22:04	2.18	3.57	2.75
2026-09-22 18:32:05	2.18	3.57	2.75
2026-09-22 18:42:04	2.18	3.57	2.75
2026-09-22 18:52:05	2.17	3.60	2.74
2026-09-22 19:02:05	2.17	3.60	2.74
2026-09-22 19:12:04	2.17	3.60	2.74
2026-09-22 19:22:05	2.17	3.60	2.74
2026-09-22 19:32:04	2.16	3.60	2.73
2026-09-22 19:32:05	2.18	3.59	2.75
2026-09-22 19:42:04	2.17	3.60	2.74
2026-09-22 19:52:05	2.17	3.60	2.74
2026-09-22 20:02:04	2.17	3.60	2.74
2026-09-22 20:12:04	2.17	3.60	2.74
2026-09-22 20:22:04	2.15	3.60	2.72
2026-09-22 20:22:05	2.18	3.59	2.75
2026-09-22 20:32:04	2.17	3.60	2.74
2026-09-22 20:42:04	2.17	3.60	2.74
2026-09-22 20:52:04	2.17	3.60	2.74
2026-09-22 21:02:05	2.17	3.60	2.74
2026-09-22 21:12:04	2.17	3.60	2.74
2026-09-22 21:22:05	2.17	3.60	2.74
2026-09-22 21:32:05	2.17	3.60	2.74
2026-09-22 21:42:04	2.17	3.60	2.74
2026-09-22 21:52:04	2.16	3.63	2.76
2026-09-22 22:02:04	2.16	3.63	2.76
2026-09-22 22:12:05	2.16	3.63	2.76
2026-09-22 22:22:08	2.16	3.63	2.76
2026-09-22 22:32:09	2.16	3.63	2.76
2026-09-22 22:42:05	2.16	3.63	2.76
2026-09-22 22:52:05	2.15	3.40	2.75
2026-09-22 22:52:06	2.16	3.66	2.76
2026-09-22 23:02:04	2.16	3.63	2.76
2026-09-22 23:12:09	2.16	3.63	2.76
2026-09-22 23:22:06	2.16	3.63	2.76
2026-09-22 23:32:05	2.16	3.63	2.76
2026-09-22 23:42:05	2.16	3.63	2.76
2026-09-22 23:52:06	2.16	3.63	2.76

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.23	Chesterfield	1 : 1	Port Vale