Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 Central
Australia · NBL1 Central - Semi-finals
West Adelaide BearcatsHOME · -
96 : 732023.08.05 · 종료
Sturt SabresAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME50.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY49.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+50.3%
VALUE EDGE+50.3%
FAIR ODDS1.99
GRADEA
West Adelaide BearcatsAnalysis MetricsSturt Sabres
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+1.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.50
191.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.67
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.1 / 15
Prediction separation0.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
West Adelaide Bearcats
L · 81-83W · 81-105W · 120-89W · 78-82W · 89-78
Sturt Sabres
W · 98-71L · 90-89W · 73-123L · 96-85W · 91-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.11 | Sturt Sabres | 94 : 85 | West Adelaide Bearcats |
| 2026.05.09 | West Adelaide Bearcats | 90 : 94 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2024.07.27 | Sturt Sabres | 100 : 81 | West Adelaide Bearcats |
| 2024.06.22 | West Adelaide Bearcats | 80 : 99 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2024.05.11 | Sturt Sabres | 81 : 104 | West Adelaide Bearcats |
| 2023.08.05 | West Adelaide Bearcats | 96 : 73 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2023.06.17 | West Adelaide Bearcats | 93 : 91 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2023.04.20 | Sturt Sabres | 59 : 99 | West Adelaide Bearcats |