Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 Central
Australia · NBL1 Central - Quarter-finals
Sturt SabresHOME · -
98 : 712023.07.30 · 종료
South Adelaide PanthersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME60.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+60.1%
VALUE EDGE+60.1%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADEA
Sturt SabresAnalysis MetricsSouth Adelaide Panthers
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+2.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.00
169.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
182.50
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
7.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation8.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sturt Sabres
L · 90-89W · 73-123L · 96-85W · 91-82W · 110-54
South Adelaide Panthers
W · 92-81L · 76-79W · 95-66W · 74-95W · 83-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.18 | Sturt Sabres | 89 : 101 | South Adelaide Panthers |
| 2026.05.23 | South Adelaide Panthers | 103 : 79 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2026.03.21 | Sturt Sabres | 96 : 93 | South Adelaide Panthers |
| 2024.06.16 | South Adelaide Panthers | 87 : 68 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2024.04.14 | Sturt Sabres | 97 : 94 | South Adelaide Panthers |
| 2023.07.30 | Sturt Sabres | 98 : 71 | South Adelaide Panthers |
| 2023.05.14 | South Adelaide Panthers | 59 : 87 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2023.04.01 | Sturt Sabres | 64 : 76 | South Adelaide Panthers |