Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 Central
Australia
Southern TigersHOME · -
81 : 1052023.07.15 · 종료
West Adelaide BearcatsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME12.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY88.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 88.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADES
Southern TigersAnalysis MetricsWest Adelaide Bearcats
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-15.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.00
193.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
191.17
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Southern Tigers
L · 92-83L · 74-95L · 110-54L · 82-99L · 100-73
West Adelaide Bearcats
W · 120-89W · 78-82W · 89-78W · 93-91L · 87-102
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.28 | West Adelaide Bearcats | 121 : 94 | Southern Tigers |
| 2026.04.25 | Southern Tigers | 100 : 83 | West Adelaide Bearcats |
| 2024.06.29 | Southern Tigers | 62 : 96 | West Adelaide Bearcats |
| 2023.07.15 | Southern Tigers | 81 : 105 | West Adelaide Bearcats |
| 2023.04.25 | West Adelaide Bearcats | 100 : 56 | Southern Tigers |