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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 Central Australia
Eastern MavericksHOME · -
73 : 1232023.07.15 · 종료
Sturt SabresAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME16.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY83.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK AWAY 84.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +83.2%
VALUE EDGE+83.2%
FAIR ODDS1.20
GRADEA
Eastern MavericksAnalysis MetricsSturt Sabres
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-11.67 Point MarginHigher is better +2.50
181.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.67
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
16.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
83.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Eastern Mavericks
L · 120-89L · 64-94W · 86-120L · 95-106L · 112-86
Sturt Sabres
L · 96-85W · 91-82W · 110-54L · 84-90L · 93-91

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.06.28Sturt Sabres115 : 79Eastern Mavericks
2026.04.25Eastern Mavericks68 : 104Sturt Sabres
2024.07.13Eastern Mavericks75 : 104Sturt Sabres
2024.05.05Sturt Sabres104 : 90Eastern Mavericks
2023.07.15Eastern Mavericks73 : 123Sturt Sabres
2023.04.25Sturt Sabres88 : 76Eastern Mavericks