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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 Central Australia
South Adelaide PanthersHOME · -
95 : 662023.07.08 · 종료
Norwood FlamesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +54.2%
VALUE EDGE+54.2%
FAIR ODDS1.84
GRADEA
South Adelaide PanthersAnalysis MetricsNorwood Flames
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+7.00 Point MarginHigher is better -5.58
182.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 173.75
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation3.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
54.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
45.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
South Adelaide Panthers
W · 74-95W · 83-85W · 86-83L · 107-80L · 82-95
Norwood Flames
W · 100-98W · 110-82W · 82-99W · 112-86W · 87-102

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.06.21Norwood Flames89 : 79South Adelaide Panthers
2026.04.02South Adelaide Panthers87 : 83Norwood Flames
2024.07.07South Adelaide Panthers83 : 77Norwood Flames
2024.04.25Norwood Flames101 : 76South Adelaide Panthers
2023.07.08South Adelaide Panthers95 : 66Norwood Flames
2023.04.29Norwood Flames80 : 84South Adelaide Panthers