Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 Central
Australia
Sturt SabresHOME · -
91 : 822023.07.08 · 종료
Central Districts LionsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME75.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY24.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+75.5%
VALUE EDGE+75.5%
FAIR ODDS1.32
GRADEB
Sturt SabresAnalysis MetricsCentral Districts Lions
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+2.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.58
169.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
178.08
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
75.0%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sturt Sabres
W · 110-54L · 84-90L · 93-91W · 118-82W · 89-78
Central Districts Lions
L · 86-120L · 86-83W · 100-73W · 88-91L · 113-96
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.25 | Sturt Sabres | 77 : 78 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2026.05.31 | Sturt Sabres | 84 : 81 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2026.03.28 | Central Districts Lions | 91 : 111 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2024.06.29 | Sturt Sabres | 120 : 108 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2024.04.20 | Central Districts Lions | 89 : 101 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2023.07.08 | Sturt Sabres | 91 : 82 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2023.04.29 | Central Districts Lions | 55 : 99 | Sturt Sabres |