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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 Central Australia
Sturt SabresHOME · -
110 : 542023.07.02 · 종료
Southern TigersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME85.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY14.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 88.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +85.5%
VALUE EDGE+85.5%
FAIR ODDS1.17
GRADES
Sturt SabresAnalysis MetricsSouthern Tigers
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
+2.50 Point MarginHigher is better -15.08
169.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 193.08
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
7.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
85.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
14.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sturt Sabres
L · 84-90L · 93-91W · 118-82W · 89-78W · 59-87
Southern Tigers
L · 82-99L · 100-73L · 90-84L · 111-75L · 76-89

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.06.27Southern Tigers67 : 91Sturt Sabres
2026.04.24Sturt Sabres86 : 84Southern Tigers
2024.07.06Sturt Sabres98 : 89Southern Tigers
2024.04.27Southern Tigers79 : 89Sturt Sabres
2023.07.02Sturt Sabres110 : 54Southern Tigers
2023.05.13Southern Tigers80 : 90Sturt Sabres