Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 Central
Australia
Central Districts LionsHOME · -
86 : 1202023.07.01 · 종료
Eastern MavericksAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME67.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+67.9%
VALUE EDGE+67.9%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADES
Central Districts LionsAnalysis MetricsEastern Mavericks
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+3.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.67
178.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
181.33
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Central Districts Lions
L · 86-83W · 100-73W · 88-91L · 113-96W · 103-84
Eastern Mavericks
L · 95-106L · 112-86L · 97-117L · 63-95W · 76-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.20 | Eastern Mavericks | 75 : 82 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2026.04.02 | Central Districts Lions | 92 : 114 | Eastern Mavericks |
| 2024.06.01 | Central Districts Lions | 107 : 83 | Eastern Mavericks |
| 2023.07.01 | Central Districts Lions | 86 : 120 | Eastern Mavericks |
| 2023.05.13 | Eastern Mavericks | 96 : 73 | Central Districts Lions |