Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 Central
Australia
South Adelaide PanthersHOME · -
86 : 832023.06.24 · 종료
Central Districts LionsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME65.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+65.2%
VALUE EDGE+65.2%
FAIR ODDS1.53
GRADEB
South Adelaide PanthersAnalysis MetricsCentral Districts Lions
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+7.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.58
182.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
178.08
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
75.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.1 / 15
Prediction separation13.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
South Adelaide Panthers
L · 107-80L · 82-95W · 63-95L · 59-87L · 73-77
Central Districts Lions
W · 100-73W · 88-91L · 113-96W · 103-84L · 96-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.28 | South Adelaide Panthers | 92 : 98 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2026.04.25 | Central Districts Lions | 77 : 89 | South Adelaide Panthers |
| 2024.07.13 | Central Districts Lions | 88 : 90 | South Adelaide Panthers |
| 2024.05.04 | South Adelaide Panthers | 97 : 84 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2023.06.24 | South Adelaide Panthers | 86 : 83 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2023.04.15 | Central Districts Lions | 94 : 97 | South Adelaide Panthers |