Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 Central
Australia
Sturt SabresHOME · -
118 : 822023.06.03 · 종료
North Adelaide RocketsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME42.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+57.8%
VALUE EDGE+57.8%
FAIR ODDS1.73
GRADEA
Sturt SabresAnalysis MetricsNorth Adelaide Rockets
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+2.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.25
169.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
195.08
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.6 / 15
Prediction separation6.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sturt Sabres
W · 89-78W · 59-87W · 80-90W · 89-84W · 55-99
North Adelaide Rockets
W · 113-96W · 102-97W · 73-77W · 102-89W · 76-90
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.04 | North Adelaide Rockets | 83 : 104 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2026.04.17 | Sturt Sabres | 114 : 92 | North Adelaide Rockets |
| 2024.05.25 | Sturt Sabres | 98 : 58 | North Adelaide Rockets |
| 2024.03.30 | North Adelaide Rockets | 62 : 104 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2023.06.03 | Sturt Sabres | 118 : 82 | North Adelaide Rockets |
| 2023.04.06 | North Adelaide Rockets | 75 : 74 | Sturt Sabres |