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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 Central Australia
Sturt SabresHOME · -
89 : 782023.05.27 · 종료
Norwood FlamesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME47.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY52.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +52.2%
VALUE EDGE+52.2%
FAIR ODDS1.92
GRADEA
Sturt SabresAnalysis MetricsNorwood Flames
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+2.50 Point MarginHigher is better -5.58
169.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 173.75
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
13.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.4 / 15
Prediction separation1.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
47.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
52.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sturt Sabres
W · 59-87W · 80-90W · 89-84W · 55-99W · 88-76
Norwood Flames
L · 73-71L · 96-59L · 80-84W · 93-84W · 70-95

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.06.13Norwood Flames67 : 74Sturt Sabres
2024.06.15Sturt Sabres94 : 92Norwood Flames
2024.04.06Norwood Flames77 : 92Sturt Sabres
2023.05.27Sturt Sabres89 : 78Norwood Flames
2023.03.26Norwood Flames66 : 102Sturt Sabres