Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 Central
Australia
South Adelaide PanthersHOME · -
59 : 872023.05.14 · 종료
Sturt SabresAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME41.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY58.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+58.3%
VALUE EDGE+58.3%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADEA
South Adelaide PanthersAnalysis MetricsSturt Sabres
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+7.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.50
182.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.67
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation7.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
South Adelaide Panthers
L · 73-77W · 97-53W · 80-84W · 74-93L · 68-69
Sturt Sabres
W · 80-90W · 89-84W · 55-99W · 88-76L · 59-99
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.18 | Sturt Sabres | 89 : 101 | South Adelaide Panthers |
| 2026.05.23 | South Adelaide Panthers | 103 : 79 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2026.03.21 | Sturt Sabres | 96 : 93 | South Adelaide Panthers |
| 2024.06.16 | South Adelaide Panthers | 87 : 68 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2024.04.14 | Sturt Sabres | 97 : 94 | South Adelaide Panthers |
| 2023.07.30 | Sturt Sabres | 98 : 71 | South Adelaide Panthers |
| 2023.05.14 | South Adelaide Panthers | 59 : 87 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2023.04.01 | Sturt Sabres | 64 : 76 | South Adelaide Panthers |