Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 Central
Australia
Central Districts LionsHOME · -
103 : 842023.05.14 · 종료
Woodville WarriorsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME18.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY81.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 84.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+81.9%
VALUE EDGE+81.9%
FAIR ODDS1.22
GRADEB
Central Districts LionsAnalysis MetricsWoodville Warriors
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+3.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.17
178.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.67
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Central Districts Lions
L · 96-73L · 110-99L · 55-99L · 107-91W · 80-104
Woodville Warriors
W · 73-71L · 89-84L · 86-72L · 74-93W · 128-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.17 | Woodville Warriors | 79 : 90 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2026.05.30 | Central Districts Lions | 80 : 77 | Woodville Warriors |
| 2026.04.11 | Woodville Warriors | 97 : 83 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2024.06.22 | Central Districts Lions | 111 : 84 | Woodville Warriors |
| 2024.05.11 | Woodville Warriors | 96 : 104 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2023.05.14 | Central Districts Lions | 103 : 84 | Woodville Warriors |
| 2023.04.01 | Woodville Warriors | 61 : 54 | Central Districts Lions |