Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 Central Australia

Southern TigersHOME · -

76 : 892023.05.14 · 종료

Eastern MavericksAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME45.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY54.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +54.7%

VALUE EDGE+54.7%

FAIR ODDS1.83

GRADEA

Southern TigersAnalysis MetricsEastern Mavericks

8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-15.08 Point MarginHigher is better -11.67

193.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 181.33

20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.0 / 15

Prediction separation4.1 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

45.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

54.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Southern Tigers

L · 80-90L · 97-53L · 76-90L · 100-56L · 80-104

Eastern Mavericks

W · 96-73L · 102-89L · 91-117L · 88-76L · 70-95

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.04.11	Eastern Mavericks	93 : 96	Southern Tigers
2024.07.07	Southern Tigers	67 : 84	Eastern Mavericks
2024.04.25	Eastern Mavericks	67 : 70	Southern Tigers
2023.05.14	Southern Tigers	76 : 89	Eastern Mavericks
2023.04.01	Eastern Mavericks	93 : 86	Southern Tigers