Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 Central
Australia
Eastern MavericksHOME · -
96 : 732023.05.13 · 종료
Central Districts LionsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME31.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY68.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+68.4%
VALUE EDGE+68.4%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADEA
Eastern MavericksAnalysis MetricsCentral Districts Lions
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-11.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.58
181.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
178.08
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
75.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Eastern Mavericks
L · 102-89L · 91-117L · 88-76L · 70-95L · 128-89
Central Districts Lions
L · 110-99L · 55-99L · 107-91W · 80-104L · 94-97
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.20 | Eastern Mavericks | 75 : 82 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2026.04.02 | Central Districts Lions | 92 : 114 | Eastern Mavericks |
| 2024.06.01 | Central Districts Lions | 107 : 83 | Eastern Mavericks |
| 2023.07.01 | Central Districts Lions | 86 : 120 | Eastern Mavericks |
| 2023.05.13 | Eastern Mavericks | 96 : 73 | Central Districts Lions |