Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 Central
Australia
Central Districts LionsHOME · -
55 : 992023.04.29 · 종료
Sturt SabresAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME19.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY80.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 84.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+80.6%
VALUE EDGE+80.6%
FAIR ODDS1.24
GRADEA
Central Districts LionsAnalysis MetricsSturt Sabres
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+3.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.50
178.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.67
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
4.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Central Districts Lions
L · 107-91W · 80-104L · 94-97L · 83-92L · 61-54
Sturt Sabres
W · 88-76L · 59-99W · 78-81L · 75-74L · 64-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.25 | Sturt Sabres | 77 : 78 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2026.05.31 | Sturt Sabres | 84 : 81 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2026.03.28 | Central Districts Lions | 91 : 111 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2024.06.29 | Sturt Sabres | 120 : 108 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2024.04.20 | Central Districts Lions | 89 : 101 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2023.07.08 | Sturt Sabres | 91 : 82 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2023.04.29 | Central Districts Lions | 55 : 99 | Sturt Sabres |