Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 Central Australia

Southern TigersHOME · -

76 : 902023.04.29 · 종료

North Adelaide RocketsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME15.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY84.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 84.0% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +84.5%

VALUE EDGE+84.5%

FAIR ODDS1.18

GRADES

Southern TigersAnalysis MetricsNorth Adelaide Rockets

8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-15.08 Point MarginHigher is better -8.25

193.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 195.08

20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

4.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.2일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.1 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

15.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

84.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Southern Tigers

L · 100-56L · 80-104L · 61-75L · 93-86L · 59-101

North Adelaide Rockets

L · 93-84L · 54-112W · 75-74L · 113-103W · 70-95

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.06.20	Southern Tigers	101 : 114	North Adelaide Rockets
2024.07.13	Southern Tigers	91 : 80	North Adelaide Rockets
2024.05.04	North Adelaide Rockets	71 : 83	Southern Tigers
2023.07.08	North Adelaide Rockets	92 : 83	Southern Tigers
2023.04.29	Southern Tigers	76 : 90	North Adelaide Rockets