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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 Central Australia
West Adelaide BearcatsHOME · -
100 : 562023.04.25 · 종료
Southern TigersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 53.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +59.2%
VALUE EDGE+59.2%
FAIR ODDS1.69
GRADEA
West Adelaide BearcatsAnalysis MetricsSouthern Tigers
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
+1.00 Point MarginHigher is better -15.08
191.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 193.08
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
4.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.7 / 15
Prediction separation7.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
59.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
40.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
West Adelaide Bearcats
W · 59-99W · 54-112L · 95-110W · 80-94L · 88-93
Southern Tigers
L · 80-104L · 61-75L · 93-86L · 59-101

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.06.28West Adelaide Bearcats121 : 94Southern Tigers
2026.04.25Southern Tigers100 : 83West Adelaide Bearcats
2024.06.29Southern Tigers62 : 96West Adelaide Bearcats
2023.07.15Southern Tigers81 : 105West Adelaide Bearcats
2023.04.25West Adelaide Bearcats100 : 56Southern Tigers