Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 Central
Australia
Southern TigersHOME · -
80 : 1042023.04.22 · 종료
Central Districts LionsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME32.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY68.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+68.0%
VALUE EDGE+68.0%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
Southern TigersAnalysis MetricsCentral Districts Lions
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-15.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.58
193.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
178.08
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
75.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Southern Tigers
L · 61-75L · 93-86L · 59-101
Central Districts Lions
L · 94-97L · 83-92L · 61-54L · 70-95
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.23 | Central Districts Lions | 113 : 86 | Southern Tigers |
| 2026.03.21 | Southern Tigers | 82 : 116 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2024.06.16 | Southern Tigers | 96 : 102 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2024.04.13 | Central Districts Lions | 99 : 93 | Southern Tigers |
| 2023.06.17 | Central Districts Lions | 100 : 73 | Southern Tigers |
| 2023.04.22 | Southern Tigers | 80 : 104 | Central Districts Lions |