Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 Central
Australia
Sturt SabresHOME · -
59 : 992023.04.20 · 종료
West Adelaide BearcatsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME24.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY75.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+75.2%
VALUE EDGE+75.2%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADEB
Sturt SabresAnalysis MetricsWest Adelaide Bearcats
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+2.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.00
169.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
191.17
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sturt Sabres
W · 78-81L · 75-74L · 64-76W · 66-102
West Adelaide Bearcats
W · 54-112L · 95-110W · 80-94L · 88-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.11 | Sturt Sabres | 94 : 85 | West Adelaide Bearcats |
| 2026.05.09 | West Adelaide Bearcats | 90 : 94 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2024.07.27 | Sturt Sabres | 100 : 81 | West Adelaide Bearcats |
| 2024.06.22 | West Adelaide Bearcats | 80 : 99 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2024.05.11 | Sturt Sabres | 81 : 104 | West Adelaide Bearcats |
| 2023.08.05 | West Adelaide Bearcats | 96 : 73 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2023.06.17 | West Adelaide Bearcats | 93 : 91 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2023.04.20 | Sturt Sabres | 59 : 99 | West Adelaide Bearcats |