Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 Central
Australia
Central Districts LionsHOME · -
94 : 972023.04.15 · 종료
South Adelaide PanthersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME39.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+60.9%
VALUE EDGE+60.9%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADEB
Central Districts LionsAnalysis MetricsSouth Adelaide Panthers
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+3.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.00
178.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
182.50
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
9.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.9 / 15
Prediction separation9.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Central Districts Lions
L · 83-92L · 61-54L · 70-95
South Adelaide Panthers
W · 95-110W · 64-76W · 94-79L · 102-72L · 95-90
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.28 | South Adelaide Panthers | 92 : 98 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2026.04.25 | Central Districts Lions | 77 : 89 | South Adelaide Panthers |
| 2024.07.13 | Central Districts Lions | 88 : 90 | South Adelaide Panthers |
| 2024.05.04 | South Adelaide Panthers | 97 : 84 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2023.06.24 | South Adelaide Panthers | 86 : 83 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2023.04.15 | Central Districts Lions | 94 : 97 | South Adelaide Panthers |