Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 Central
Australia
North Adelaide RocketsHOME · -
75 : 742023.04.06 · 종료
Sturt SabresAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME22.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY78.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+78.0%
VALUE EDGE+78.0%
FAIR ODDS1.28
GRADEA
North Adelaide RocketsAnalysis MetricsSturt Sabres
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-8.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.50
195.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.67
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
4.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
North Adelaide Rockets
L · 113-103W · 70-95
Sturt Sabres
L · 64-76W · 66-102
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.04 | North Adelaide Rockets | 83 : 104 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2026.04.17 | Sturt Sabres | 114 : 92 | North Adelaide Rockets |
| 2024.05.25 | Sturt Sabres | 98 : 58 | North Adelaide Rockets |
| 2024.03.30 | North Adelaide Rockets | 62 : 104 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2023.06.03 | Sturt Sabres | 118 : 82 | North Adelaide Rockets |
| 2023.04.06 | North Adelaide Rockets | 75 : 74 | Sturt Sabres |