Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL 1 W
Australia · NBL1 Women - 3rd place
Townsville Flames WHOME · -
97 : 702022.09.11 · 종료
West Adelaide Bearcats WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME72.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
85/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+72.5%
VALUE EDGE+72.5%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADEB
Townsville Flames WAnalysis MetricsWest Adelaide Bearcats W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+4.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.92
171.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
142.08
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
0.7일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.7일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Townsville Flames W
L · 67-73W · 67-80W · 48-80W · 57-85W · 81-108
West Adelaide Bearcats W
L · 90-55L · 61-86W · 82-75W · 94-82W · 67-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.09.11 | Townsville Flames W | 97 : 70 | West Adelaide Bearcats W |