Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL 1 W
Australia
Southern District Spartans WHOME · -
67 : 802022.09.09 · 종료
Townsville Flames WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.2%
VALUE EDGE+56.2%
FAIR ODDS1.78
GRADEA
Southern District Spartans WAnalysis MetricsTownsville Flames W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+1.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.75
160.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.75
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
13.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement15.0 / 15
Prediction separation5.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Southern District Spartans W
L · 81-108W · 93-59W · 94-77W · 81-93W · 89-56
Townsville Flames W
W · 48-80W · 57-85W · 81-108W · 97-77W · 64-95
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.24 | Townsville Flames W | 85 : 83 | Southern District Spartans W |
| 2026.06.07 | Southern District Spartans W | 69 : 104 | Townsville Flames W |
| 2025.06.13 | Townsville Flames W | 43 : 60 | Southern District Spartans W |
| 2022.09.09 | Southern District Spartans W | 67 : 80 | Townsville Flames W |
| 2022.08.20 | Southern District Spartans W | 81 : 108 | Townsville Flames W |
| 2022.07.01 | Southern District Spartans W | 64 : 77 | Townsville Flames W |