Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL 1
Australia
Geraldton BuccaneersHOME · -
120 : 912023.08.19 · 종료
Ipswich ForceAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME24.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY76.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
85/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+76.0%
VALUE EDGE+76.0%
FAIR ODDS1.32
GRADEB
Geraldton BuccaneersAnalysis MetricsIpswich Force
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+11.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.92
181.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
193.08
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
75.0%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
64/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geraldton Buccaneers
W · 98-76W · 94-100L · 103-42L · 52-79L · 62-90
Ipswich Force
L · 106-88W · 85-109W · 98-119L · 100-86W · 79-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.08.19 | Geraldton Buccaneers | 120 : 91 | Ipswich Force |