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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL 1 Australia
Geraldton BuccaneersHOME · -
98 : 762023.08.18 · 종료
Sutherland SharksAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME29.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY70.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM63 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK AWAY 73.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +70.2%
VALUE EDGE+70.2%
FAIR ODDS1.42
GRADEB
Geraldton BuccaneersAnalysis MetricsSutherland Sharks
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
+11.42 Point MarginHigher is better +12.92
181.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.75
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

63/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
29.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
70.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geraldton Buccaneers
W · 94-100L · 103-42L · 52-79L · 62-90W · 68-67
Sutherland Sharks
L · 104-82W · 78-96L · 61-87L · 90-94W · 106-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.08.18Geraldton Buccaneers98 : 76Sutherland Sharks