Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL 1
Australia

Geraldton BuccaneersHOME · -
98 : 762023.08.18 · 종료
Sutherland SharksAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME29.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY70.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM63 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
85/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+70.2%
VALUE EDGE+70.2%
FAIR ODDS1.42
GRADEB
Geraldton BuccaneersAnalysis MetricsSutherland Sharks
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
+11.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+12.92
181.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.75
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
63/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geraldton Buccaneers
W · 94-100L · 103-42L · 52-79L · 62-90W · 68-67
Sutherland Sharks
L · 104-82W · 78-96L · 61-87L · 90-94W · 106-74
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.08.18 | Geraldton Buccaneers | 98 : 76 | Sutherland Sharks |