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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL 1 Australia
Rockingham FlamesHOME · -
106 : 882023.08.18 · 종료
Ipswich ForceAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK HOME 73.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +71.6%
VALUE EDGE+71.6%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEA
Rockingham FlamesAnalysis MetricsIpswich Force
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+13.67 Point MarginHigher is better +4.00
183.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 194.50
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 75.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 12.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
71.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
28.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rockingham Flames
W · 85-74W · 102-87W · 87-71L · 92-82W · 72-88
Ipswich Force
W · 85-109W · 98-119L · 100-86W · 79-87W · 99-92

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.08.18Rockingham Flames106 : 88Ipswich Force