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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL 1 Australia · NBL1 - Final
Rockingham FlamesHOME · -
85 : 742022.09.11 · 종료
FrankstonAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME86.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY13.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK HOME 88.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +86.9%
VALUE EDGE+86.9%
FAIR ODDS1.15
GRADEB
Rockingham FlamesAnalysis MetricsFrankston
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
+13.67 Point MarginHigher is better +6.33
183.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 185.00
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
86.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
13.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rockingham Flames
W · 102-87W · 87-71L · 92-82W · 72-88W · 99-76
Frankston
W · 95-90W · 89-86L · 86-70L · 97-99L · 80-99

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.09.11Rockingham Flames85 : 74Frankston