Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL 1 Australia · NBL1 - 3rd place

CanberraHOME · -

93 : 722022.09.11 · 종료

Hobart ChargersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY43.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 54.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +56.5%

VALUE EDGE+56.5%

FAIR ODDS1.77

GRADEA

CanberraAnalysis MetricsHobart Chargers

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-2.50 Point MarginHigher is better -11.50

157.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 190.33

37.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%

0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.7일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.4 / 15

Prediction separation5.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

56.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

43.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Canberra

W · 91-101L · 89-86W · 76-73W · 106-75W · 77-79

Hobart Chargers

L · 102-87L · 86-92W · 58-72W · 86-71W · 96-98

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2022.09.11	Canberra	93 : 72	Hobart Chargers
2018.06.23	Canberra	77 : 111	Hobart Chargers
2016.05.20	Hobart Chargers	91 : 75	Canberra
2015.06.26	Hobart Chargers	74 : 61	Canberra
2015.06.13	Canberra	73 : 75	Hobart Chargers