Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL 1
Australia
FrankstonHOME · -
89 : 862022.09.09 · 종료
CanberraAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME34.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY65.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+65.1%
VALUE EDGE+65.1%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
FrankstonAnalysis MetricsCanberra
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+6.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.50
185.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.17
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
12.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.1 / 15
Prediction separation13.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Frankston
L · 86-70L · 97-99L · 80-99W · 101-75L · 88-78
Canberra
W · 76-73W · 106-75W · 77-79W · 92-63L · 90-91
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.09.09 | Frankston | 89 : 86 | Canberra |
| 2018.04.28 | Frankston | 98 : 74 | Canberra |
| 2016.07.30 | Canberra | 91 : 72 | Frankston |
| 2016.07.16 | Frankston | 74 : 77 | Canberra |
| 2015.05.31 | Frankston | 63 : 71 | Canberra |