LIVE 200 오늘 1,874경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

Taça de Portugal Portugal · Round of 128
BragançaHOME · 1.78
6 : 12026.09.20 · 종료
CeloricenseAWAY · 4.20
HOME · 현재 순위 -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME44.3%
DRAW23.4%
AWAY32.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW24 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 24/100
AI PICK HOME 36.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +11.0%
VALUE EDGE+11.0%
FAIR ODDS3.09
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION PASS 24/100 · HIGH RISK
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
REST EVEN +0.5%p
MARKET HOME +29.2%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Bragança분석 지표Celoricense
80.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 60.0%
2.20 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.80
0.40 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.40
50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%
7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.9일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

24/100 LOW
데이터 커버리지4.8 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력0.0 / 10
과거 표본0.0 / 10
모델 일치도13.6 / 15
예측 분리도5.1 / 15
데이터 신선도8.5 / 10
종목 핵심정보2.0 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME50.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승49.6%표본 123경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승46.9%현재 이동 +0.0%
OPEN → NOW1.78 → 1.78배당 업데이트 2026-09-20 20:34:01

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
44.3%
DRAW
23.4%
AWAY
32.4%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Bragança
W · 3-0W · 0-1W · 0-4D · 0-0W · 2-3
Celoricense
L · 1-0W · 2-1W · 1-0W · 0-1D · 0-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+8.0%+4.0%0.0%-4.0%-8.0%09/20 03:0409/20 06:3309/20 11:3309/20 18:3509/20 20:34HOME · 배당 1.77 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 03:04:06HOME · 배당 1.77 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 03:34:03HOME · 배당 1.77 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 04:04:03HOME · 배당 1.77 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 04:32:48HOME · 배당 1.77 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 05:03:05HOME · 배당 1.80 · 변동 +1.79% · 2026-09-20 05:33:00HOME · 배당 1.75 · 변동 -0.90% · 2026-09-20 05:33:01HOME · 배당 1.80 · 변동 +1.79% · 2026-09-20 06:03:33HOME · 배당 1.75 · 변동 -0.90% · 2026-09-20 06:03:34HOME · 배당 1.77 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 06:33:31HOME · 배당 1.77 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 07:04:07HOME · 배당 1.77 · 변동 -0.15% · 2026-09-20 07:34:39HOME · 배당 1.77 · 변동 -0.15% · 2026-09-20 08:12:59HOME · 배당 1.77 · 변동 -0.15% · 2026-09-20 08:52:44HOME · 배당 1.77 · 변동 -0.15% · 2026-09-20 09:33:22HOME · 배당 1.77 · 변동 -0.15% · 2026-09-20 10:12:31HOME · 배당 1.77 · 변동 -0.15% · 2026-09-20 10:53:04HOME · 배당 1.80 · 변동 +1.79% · 2026-09-20 11:33:27HOME · 배당 1.75 · 변동 -0.92% · 2026-09-20 11:33:28HOME · 배당 1.77 · 변동 -0.15% · 2026-09-20 12:12:37HOME · 배당 1.77 · 변동 -0.15% · 2026-09-20 12:53:18HOME · 배당 1.77 · 변동 -0.15% · 2026-09-20 13:33:27HOME · 배당 1.77 · 변동 -0.15% · 2026-09-20 14:12:37HOME · 배당 1.77 · 변동 +0.32% · 2026-09-20 14:53:18HOME · 배당 1.75 · 변동 -1.32% · 2026-09-20 14:53:19HOME · 배당 1.78 · 변동 +0.43% · 2026-09-20 18:35:41HOME · 배당 1.77 · 변동 -0.09% · 2026-09-20 18:35:42HOME · 배당 1.80 · 변동 +1.79% · 2026-09-20 18:35:48HOME · 배당 1.76 · 변동 -0.28% · 2026-09-20 18:35:49HOME · 배당 1.77 · 변동 +0.24% · 2026-09-20 19:14:18HOME · 배당 1.80 · 변동 +1.79% · 2026-09-20 19:14:24HOME · 배당 1.77 · 변동 +0.01% · 2026-09-20 19:14:25HOME · 배당 1.77 · 변동 +0.24% · 2026-09-20 19:54:23HOME · 배당 1.80 · 변동 +1.79% · 2026-09-20 20:34:00HOME · 배당 1.76 · 변동 -0.28% · 2026-09-20 20:34:01DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 03:04:06DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 03:34:03DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 04:04:03DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 04:32:48DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 05:03:05DRAW · 배당 3.15 · 변동 -1.66% · 2026-09-20 05:33:00DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +0.83% · 2026-09-20 05:33:01DRAW · 배당 3.15 · 변동 -1.66% · 2026-09-20 06:03:33DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +0.83% · 2026-09-20 06:03:34DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 06:33:31DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 07:04:07DRAW · 배당 3.22 · 변동 +0.43% · 2026-09-20 07:34:39DRAW · 배당 3.22 · 변동 +0.43% · 2026-09-20 08:12:59DRAW · 배당 3.22 · 변동 +0.43% · 2026-09-20 08:52:44DRAW · 배당 3.22 · 변동 +0.43% · 2026-09-20 09:33:22DRAW · 배당 3.22 · 변동 +0.43% · 2026-09-20 10:12:31DRAW · 배당 3.22 · 변동 +0.43% · 2026-09-20 10:53:04DRAW · 배당 3.15 · 변동 -1.66% · 2026-09-20 11:33:27DRAW · 배당 3.24 · 변동 +1.27% · 2026-09-20 11:33:28DRAW · 배당 3.22 · 변동 +0.43% · 2026-09-20 12:12:37DRAW · 배당 3.22 · 변동 +0.43% · 2026-09-20 12:53:18DRAW · 배당 3.22 · 변동 +0.43% · 2026-09-20 13:33:27DRAW · 배당 3.22 · 변동 +0.43% · 2026-09-20 14:12:37DRAW · 배당 3.22 · 변동 +0.65% · 2026-09-20 14:53:18DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 -0.10% · 2026-09-20 14:53:19DRAW · 배당 3.22 · 변동 +0.65% · 2026-09-20 18:35:41DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 -0.10% · 2026-09-20 18:35:42DRAW · 배당 3.15 · 변동 -1.66% · 2026-09-20 18:35:48DRAW · 배당 3.24 · 변동 +1.04% · 2026-09-20 18:35:49DRAW · 배당 3.22 · 변동 +0.36% · 2026-09-20 19:14:18DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -3.23% · 2026-09-20 19:14:24DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +0.88% · 2026-09-20 19:14:25DRAW · 배당 3.22 · 변동 +0.36% · 2026-09-20 19:54:23DRAW · 배당 3.15 · 변동 -1.66% · 2026-09-20 20:34:00DRAW · 배당 3.24 · 변동 +1.04% · 2026-09-20 20:34:01AWAY · 배당 4.25 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 03:04:06AWAY · 배당 4.25 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 03:34:03AWAY · 배당 4.25 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 04:04:03AWAY · 배당 4.25 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 04:32:48AWAY · 배당 4.25 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 05:03:05AWAY · 배당 4.05 · 변동 -4.74% · 2026-09-20 05:33:00AWAY · 배당 4.35 · 변동 +2.37% · 2026-09-20 05:33:01AWAY · 배당 4.05 · 변동 -4.74% · 2026-09-20 06:03:33AWAY · 배당 4.35 · 변동 +2.37% · 2026-09-20 06:03:34AWAY · 배당 4.25 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 06:33:31AWAY · 배당 4.25 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 07:04:07AWAY · 배당 4.26 · 변동 +0.26% · 2026-09-20 07:34:39AWAY · 배당 4.26 · 변동 +0.26% · 2026-09-20 08:12:59AWAY · 배당 4.26 · 변동 +0.26% · 2026-09-20 08:52:44AWAY · 배당 4.26 · 변동 +0.26% · 2026-09-20 09:33:22AWAY · 배당 4.26 · 변동 +0.26% · 2026-09-20 10:12:31AWAY · 배당 4.26 · 변동 +0.26% · 2026-09-20 10:53:04AWAY · 배당 4.05 · 변동 -4.74% · 2026-09-20 11:33:27AWAY · 배당 4.35 · 변동 +2.27% · 2026-09-20 11:33:28AWAY · 배당 4.26 · 변동 +0.26% · 2026-09-20 12:12:37AWAY · 배당 4.26 · 변동 +0.26% · 2026-09-20 12:53:18AWAY · 배당 4.26 · 변동 +0.26% · 2026-09-20 13:33:27AWAY · 배당 4.26 · 변동 +0.26% · 2026-09-20 14:12:37AWAY · 배당 4.22 · 변동 -0.84% · 2026-09-20 14:53:18AWAY · 배당 4.38 · 변동 +3.02% · 2026-09-20 14:53:19AWAY · 배당 4.21 · 변동 -1.07% · 2026-09-20 18:35:41AWAY · 배당 4.27 · 변동 +0.43% · 2026-09-20 18:35:42AWAY · 배당 4.05 · 변동 -4.74% · 2026-09-20 18:35:48AWAY · 배당 4.29 · 변동 +0.90% · 2026-09-20 18:35:49AWAY · 배당 4.23 · 변동 -0.51% · 2026-09-20 19:14:18AWAY · 배당 4.00 · 변동 -5.92% · 2026-09-20 19:14:24AWAY · 배당 4.26 · 변동 +0.26% · 2026-09-20 19:14:25AWAY · 배당 4.23 · 변동 -0.51% · 2026-09-20 19:54:23AWAY · 배당 4.05 · 변동 -4.74% · 2026-09-20 20:34:00AWAY · 배당 4.29 · 변동 +0.90% · 2026-09-20 20:34:01
HOME35 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN1.77
→
CURRENT1.76
-0.28%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW35 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.20
→
CURRENT3.24
+1.04%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY35 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN4.25
→
CURRENT4.29
+0.90%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-09-20 03:04:061.773.204.25
2026-09-20 03:34:031.773.204.25
2026-09-20 04:04:031.773.204.25
2026-09-20 04:32:481.773.204.25
2026-09-20 05:03:051.773.204.25
2026-09-20 05:33:001.803.154.05
2026-09-20 05:33:011.753.234.35
2026-09-20 06:03:331.803.154.05
2026-09-20 06:03:341.753.234.35
2026-09-20 06:33:311.773.204.25
2026-09-20 07:04:071.773.204.25
2026-09-20 07:34:391.773.224.26
2026-09-20 08:12:591.773.224.26
2026-09-20 08:52:441.773.224.26
2026-09-20 09:33:221.773.224.26
2026-09-20 10:12:311.773.224.26
2026-09-20 10:53:041.773.224.26
2026-09-20 11:33:271.803.154.05
2026-09-20 11:33:281.753.244.35
2026-09-20 12:12:371.773.224.26
2026-09-20 12:53:181.773.224.26
2026-09-20 13:33:271.773.224.26
2026-09-20 14:12:371.773.224.26
2026-09-20 14:53:181.773.224.22
2026-09-20 14:53:191.753.204.38
2026-09-20 18:35:411.783.224.21
2026-09-20 18:35:421.773.204.27
2026-09-20 18:35:481.803.154.05
2026-09-20 18:35:491.763.244.29
2026-09-20 19:14:181.773.224.23
2026-09-20 19:14:241.803.104.00
2026-09-20 19:14:251.773.234.26
2026-09-20 19:54:231.773.224.23
2026-09-20 20:34:001.803.154.05
2026-09-20 20:34:011.763.244.29

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.09.20Bragança6 : 1Celoricense