경기 상세 분석 종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Taça de Portugal
Portugal · Round of 128
Fátima HOME · 1.18
4 : 1 2026.09.20 · 종료
Vinhais AWAY · 13.00
HOME · 현재 순위
-
LEAGUE STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME 84.0%
DRAW 11.2%
AWAY 4.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW 24 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME 76.6% 현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승 86.7% 표본 30경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승 100.0% 표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승 40.4% 현재 이동 -18.1%
OPEN → NOW 1.44 → 1.18 배당 업데이트 2026-09-20 19:14:15
확률 구성 배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력 현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Fátima L · 0-1 L · 3-0 W · 3-1 W · 5-0 D · 1-1
Vinhais L · 4-0 L · 1-2 L · 3-0 L · 0-1
배당 변화 히스토리 OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOME DRAW AWAY
+206.0% +103.0% 0.0% -103.0% -206.0% 09/20 03:04 09/20 05:33 09/20 08:52 09/20 13:33 09/20 19:14 HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 03:04:04 HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 03:04:05 HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 03:34:03 HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 04:04:02 HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 +0.23% · 2026-09-20 04:32:47 HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 -0.23% · 2026-09-20 04:32:48 HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 05:03:04 HOME · 배당 1.45 · 변동 +0.35% · 2026-09-20 05:32:59 HOME · 배당 1.43 · 변동 -0.69% · 2026-09-20 05:33:00 HOME · 배당 1.45 · 변동 +0.35% · 2026-09-20 06:03:32 HOME · 배당 1.43 · 변동 -0.69% · 2026-09-20 06:03:33 HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 06:33:30 HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 07:04:06 HOME · 배당 1.18 · 변동 -17.76% · 2026-09-20 07:34:36 HOME · 배당 1.18 · 변동 -17.76% · 2026-09-20 08:12:58 HOME · 배당 1.19 · 변동 -17.59% · 2026-09-20 08:52:43 HOME · 배당 1.17 · 변동 -18.75% · 2026-09-20 08:52:44 HOME · 배당 1.18 · 변동 -17.76% · 2026-09-20 09:33:21 HOME · 배당 1.18 · 변동 -17.76% · 2026-09-20 10:12:31 HOME · 배당 1.18 · 변동 -17.76% · 2026-09-20 10:53:03 HOME · 배당 1.18 · 변동 -17.76% · 2026-09-20 11:33:25 HOME · 배당 1.18 · 변동 -17.76% · 2026-09-20 12:12:36 HOME · 배당 1.18 · 변동 -17.76% · 2026-09-20 12:53:16 HOME · 배당 1.18 · 변동 -17.76% · 2026-09-20 13:33:25 HOME · 배당 1.18 · 변동 -17.76% · 2026-09-20 14:12:37 HOME · 배당 1.19 · 변동 -17.59% · 2026-09-20 14:53:16 HOME · 배당 1.17 · 변동 -18.75% · 2026-09-20 14:53:17 HOME · 배당 1.18 · 변동 -18.06% · 2026-09-20 18:35:36 HOME · 배당 1.19 · 변동 -17.71% · 2026-09-20 18:35:37 HOME · 배당 1.18 · 변동 -18.06% · 2026-09-20 19:14:14 HOME · 배당 1.19 · 변동 -17.36% · 2026-09-20 19:14:15 DRAW · 배당 3.70 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 03:04:04 DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -0.81% · 2026-09-20 03:04:05 DRAW · 배당 3.68 · 변동 -0.68% · 2026-09-20 03:34:03 DRAW · 배당 3.68 · 변동 -0.68% · 2026-09-20 04:04:02 DRAW · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -1.35% · 2026-09-20 04:32:47 DRAW · 배당 3.70 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 04:32:48 DRAW · 배당 3.68 · 변동 -0.68% · 2026-09-20 05:03:04 DRAW · 배당 3.71 · 변동 +0.34% · 2026-09-20 05:32:59 DRAW · 배당 3.60 · 변동 -2.70% · 2026-09-20 05:33:00 DRAW · 배당 3.71 · 변동 +0.34% · 2026-09-20 06:03:32 DRAW · 배당 3.60 · 변동 -2.70% · 2026-09-20 06:03:33 DRAW · 배당 3.68 · 변동 -0.68% · 2026-09-20 06:33:30 DRAW · 배당 3.68 · 변동 -0.68% · 2026-09-20 07:04:06 DRAW · 배당 5.07 · 변동 +37.14% · 2026-09-20 07:34:36 DRAW · 배당 5.07 · 변동 +37.14% · 2026-09-20 08:12:58 DRAW · 배당 5.07 · 변동 +37.03% · 2026-09-20 08:52:43 DRAW · 배당 5.10 · 변동 +37.84% · 2026-09-20 08:52:44 DRAW · 배당 5.07 · 변동 +37.14% · 2026-09-20 09:33:21 DRAW · 배당 5.07 · 변동 +37.14% · 2026-09-20 10:12:31 DRAW · 배당 5.07 · 변동 +37.14% · 2026-09-20 10:53:03 DRAW · 배당 5.07 · 변동 +37.14% · 2026-09-20 11:33:25 DRAW · 배당 5.07 · 변동 +37.14% · 2026-09-20 12:12:36 DRAW · 배당 5.07 · 변동 +37.14% · 2026-09-20 12:53:16 DRAW · 배당 5.07 · 변동 +37.14% · 2026-09-20 13:33:25 DRAW · 배당 5.07 · 변동 +37.14% · 2026-09-20 14:12:37 DRAW · 배당 5.07 · 변동 +37.03% · 2026-09-20 14:53:16 DRAW · 배당 5.10 · 변동 +37.84% · 2026-09-20 14:53:17 DRAW · 배당 5.44 · 변동 +46.96% · 2026-09-20 18:35:36 DRAW · 배당 5.49 · 변동 +48.31% · 2026-09-20 18:35:37 DRAW · 배당 5.50 · 변동 +48.65% · 2026-09-20 19:14:14 DRAW · 배당 5.35 · 변동 +44.59% · 2026-09-20 19:14:15 AWAY · 배당 6.00 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 03:04:04 AWAY · 배당 6.75 · 변동 +12.57% · 2026-09-20 03:04:05 AWAY · 배당 6.63 · 변동 +10.47% · 2026-09-20 03:34:03 AWAY · 배당 6.63 · 변동 +10.47% · 2026-09-20 04:04:02 AWAY · 배당 6.63 · 변동 +10.56% · 2026-09-20 04:32:47 AWAY · 배당 6.62 · 변동 +10.39% · 2026-09-20 04:32:48 AWAY · 배당 6.63 · 변동 +10.47% · 2026-09-20 05:03:04 AWAY · 배당 6.60 · 변동 +10.00% · 2026-09-20 05:32:59 AWAY · 배당 6.69 · 변동 +11.42% · 2026-09-20 05:33:00 AWAY · 배당 6.60 · 변동 +10.00% · 2026-09-20 06:03:32 AWAY · 배당 6.69 · 변동 +11.42% · 2026-09-20 06:03:33 AWAY · 배당 6.63 · 변동 +10.47% · 2026-09-20 06:33:30 AWAY · 배당 6.63 · 변동 +10.47% · 2026-09-20 07:04:06 AWAY · 배당 13.97 · 변동 +132.81% · 2026-09-20 07:34:36 AWAY · 배당 13.97 · 변동 +132.81% · 2026-09-20 08:12:58 AWAY · 배당 13.46 · 변동 +124.39% · 2026-09-20 08:52:43 AWAY · 배당 17.00 · 변동 +183.33% · 2026-09-20 08:52:44 AWAY · 배당 13.97 · 변동 +132.81% · 2026-09-20 09:33:21 AWAY · 배당 13.97 · 변동 +132.81% · 2026-09-20 10:12:31 AWAY · 배당 13.97 · 변동 +132.81% · 2026-09-20 10:53:03 AWAY · 배당 13.97 · 변동 +132.81% · 2026-09-20 11:33:25 AWAY · 배당 13.97 · 변동 +132.81% · 2026-09-20 12:12:36 AWAY · 배당 13.97 · 변동 +132.81% · 2026-09-20 12:53:16 AWAY · 배당 13.97 · 변동 +132.81% · 2026-09-20 13:33:25 AWAY · 배당 13.97 · 변동 +132.81% · 2026-09-20 14:12:37 AWAY · 배당 13.46 · 변동 +124.39% · 2026-09-20 14:53:16 AWAY · 배당 17.00 · 변동 +183.33% · 2026-09-20 14:53:17 AWAY · 배당 13.25 · 변동 +120.83% · 2026-09-20 18:35:36 AWAY · 배당 12.03 · 변동 +100.50% · 2026-09-20 18:35:37 AWAY · 배당 12.69 · 변동 +111.44% · 2026-09-20 19:14:14 AWAY · 배당 12.50 · 변동 +108.33% · 2026-09-20 19:14:15
HOME31 SNAPSHOTS
-17.36%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW31 SNAPSHOTS
+44.59%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY31 SNAPSHOTS
+108.33%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기 수집시간 HOME DRAW AWAY 2026-09-20 03:04:04 1.44 3.70 6.00 2026-09-20 03:04:05 1.44 3.67 6.75 2026-09-20 03:34:03 1.44 3.68 6.63 2026-09-20 04:04:02 1.44 3.68 6.63 2026-09-20 04:32:47 1.44 3.65 6.63 2026-09-20 04:32:48 1.44 3.70 6.62 2026-09-20 05:03:04 1.44 3.68 6.63 2026-09-20 05:32:59 1.45 3.71 6.60 2026-09-20 05:33:00 1.43 3.60 6.69 2026-09-20 06:03:32 1.45 3.71 6.60 2026-09-20 06:03:33 1.43 3.60 6.69 2026-09-20 06:33:30 1.44 3.68 6.63 2026-09-20 07:04:06 1.44 3.68 6.63 2026-09-20 07:34:36 1.18 5.07 13.97 2026-09-20 08:12:58 1.18 5.07 13.97 2026-09-20 08:52:43 1.19 5.07 13.46 2026-09-20 08:52:44 1.17 5.10 17.00 2026-09-20 09:33:21 1.18 5.07 13.97 2026-09-20 10:12:31 1.18 5.07 13.97 2026-09-20 10:53:03 1.18 5.07 13.97 2026-09-20 11:33:25 1.18 5.07 13.97 2026-09-20 12:12:36 1.18 5.07 13.97 2026-09-20 12:53:16 1.18 5.07 13.97 2026-09-20 13:33:25 1.18 5.07 13.97 2026-09-20 14:12:37 1.18 5.07 13.97 2026-09-20 14:53:16 1.19 5.07 13.46 2026-09-20 14:53:17 1.17 5.10 17.00 2026-09-20 18:35:36 1.18 5.44 13.25 2026-09-20 18:35:37 1.19 5.49 12.03 2026-09-20 19:14:14 1.18 5.50 12.69 2026-09-20 19:14:15 1.19 5.35 12.50
상대전적 H2H 날짜 홈 결과 원정 2026.09.20 Fátima 4 : 1 Vinhais