경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
J1 League
Japan · Regular Season - 8

Machida ZelviaHOME · 2.42
2 : 42026.09.20 · 종료
Kashiwa ReysolAWAY · 2.77

HOME · 현재 순위
2위
승점 17
· 7경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
5위
승점 15
· 7경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.9%
DRAW24.1%
AWAY14.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH87 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME38.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승40.6%표본 175경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승33.3%표본 3경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승49.3%현재 이동 -5.1%
OPEN → NOW2.55 → 2.42배당 업데이트 2026-09-20 23:32:20
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Machida ZelviaW · 2-0D · 1-1W · 1-3W · 2-1D · 1-1
Kashiwa ReysolL · 2-1W · 2-3L · 0-2L · 2-0W · 0-1
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME70 SNAPSHOTS
-4.77%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW70 SNAPSHOTS
+2.27%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY70 SNAPSHOTS
+3.47%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-19 00:15:30 | 2.54 | 3.28 | 2.66 |
| 2026-09-20 00:13:56 | 2.56 | 3.33 | 2.69 |
| 2026-09-20 00:44:38 | 2.53 | 3.23 | 2.66 |
| 2026-09-20 00:44:39 | 2.57 | 3.38 | 2.71 |
| 2026-09-20 01:14:12 | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.62 |
| 2026-09-20 01:14:13 | 2.57 | 3.35 | 2.71 |
| 2026-09-20 01:52:05 | 2.53 | 3.29 | 2.67 |
| 2026-09-20 01:52:06 | 2.60 | 3.41 | 2.74 |
| 2026-09-20 02:22:04 | 2.53 | 3.23 | 2.66 |
| 2026-09-20 02:22:05 | 2.57 | 3.38 | 2.71 |
| 2026-09-20 02:52:05 | 2.53 | 3.29 | 2.67 |
| 2026-09-20 02:52:06 | 2.60 | 3.41 | 2.74 |
| 2026-09-20 03:22:06 | 2.55 | 3.32 | 2.69 |
| 2026-09-20 03:22:07 | 2.60 | 3.39 | 2.72 |
| 2026-09-20 03:52:05 | 2.56 | 3.33 | 2.69 |
| 2026-09-20 04:22:05 | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.62 |
| 2026-09-20 04:22:06 | 2.57 | 3.35 | 2.71 |
| 2026-09-20 04:52:04 | 2.53 | 3.29 | 2.67 |
| 2026-09-20 04:52:05 | 2.60 | 3.41 | 2.74 |
| 2026-09-20 05:22:05 | 2.56 | 3.33 | 2.69 |
| 2026-09-20 05:52:10 | 2.53 | 3.25 | 2.66 |
| 2026-09-20 05:52:11 | 2.58 | 3.41 | 2.73 |
| 2026-09-20 06:22:05 | 2.56 | 3.33 | 2.69 |
| 2026-09-20 06:52:06 | 2.56 | 3.33 | 2.69 |
| 2026-09-20 07:22:08 | 2.53 | 3.29 | 2.67 |
| 2026-09-20 07:22:09 | 2.60 | 3.41 | 2.74 |
| 2026-09-20 08:02:04 | 2.53 | 3.30 | 2.67 |
| 2026-09-20 08:42:06 | 2.53 | 3.30 | 2.67 |
| 2026-09-20 09:22:04 | 2.53 | 3.30 | 2.67 |
| 2026-09-20 10:02:02 | 2.53 | 3.30 | 2.67 |
| 2026-09-20 10:42:04 | 2.53 | 3.31 | 2.67 |
| 2026-09-20 11:22:06 | 2.53 | 3.33 | 2.68 |
| 2026-09-20 11:22:07 | 2.53 | 3.25 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-20 12:02:03 | 2.53 | 3.31 | 2.67 |
| 2026-09-20 12:42:06 | 2.52 | 3.31 | 2.66 |
| 2026-09-20 12:42:07 | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.68 |
| 2026-09-20 13:22:04 | 2.53 | 3.31 | 2.67 |
| 2026-09-20 14:02:02 | 2.40 | 3.20 | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-20 14:02:03 | 2.44 | 3.33 | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-20 14:42:05 | 2.42 | 3.30 | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-20 14:42:06 | 2.51 | 3.35 | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-20 15:22:04 | 2.44 | 3.31 | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-20 15:52:06 | 2.40 | 3.20 | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-20 15:52:07 | 2.44 | 3.33 | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-20 16:22:05 | 2.41 | 3.29 | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-20 16:22:06 | 2.46 | 3.33 | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-20 16:52:07 | 2.43 | 3.23 | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-20 16:52:08 | 2.43 | 3.38 | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-20 17:22:11 | 2.42 | 3.29 | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-20 17:22:12 | 2.44 | 3.39 | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-20 17:52:08 | 2.42 | 3.29 | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-20 17:52:09 | 2.44 | 3.39 | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-20 18:22:09 | 2.42 | 3.29 | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-20 18:22:10 | 2.44 | 3.39 | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-20 19:02:10 | 2.43 | 3.33 | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-20 19:02:11 | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.72 |
| 2026-09-20 19:42:09 | 2.43 | 3.32 | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-20 19:42:10 | 2.44 | 3.46 | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-20 20:22:09 | 2.44 | 3.35 | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-20 20:22:10 | 2.42 | 3.35 | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-20 21:02:12 | 2.43 | 3.35 | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-20 21:32:08 | 2.43 | 3.35 | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-20 22:02:08 | 2.44 | 3.35 | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-20 22:02:09 | 2.42 | 3.35 | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-20 22:32:15 | 2.42 | 3.26 | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-20 22:32:16 | 2.43 | 3.40 | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-20 23:02:09 | 2.44 | 3.35 | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-20 23:02:10 | 2.42 | 3.35 | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-20 23:32:19 | 2.44 | 3.35 | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-20 23:32:20 | 2.42 | 3.35 | 2.75 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.20 | Machida Zelvia | 2 : 4 | Kashiwa Reysol |
| 2026.04.11 | Machida Zelvia | 1 : 0 | Kashiwa Reysol |
| 2026.03.14 | Kashiwa Reysol | 0 : 1 | Machida Zelvia |
| 2025.12.06 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 : 0 | Machida Zelvia |
| 2025.05.17 | Machida Zelvia | 3 : 0 | Kashiwa Reysol |
| 2024.10.19 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 : 1 | Machida Zelvia |
| 2024.05.03 | Machida Zelvia | 2 : 0 | Kashiwa Reysol |