경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Primera Division
Nicaragua · Apertura - 10

Walter FerrettiHOME · 1.70
2 : 22026.10.04 · 종료
JalapaAWAY · 4.17

HOME · 현재 순위
8위
승점 7
· 9경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
10위
승점 4
· 9경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME88.0%
DRAW7.6%
AWAY4.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH82 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME53.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승54.1%표본 159경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승46.2%현재 이동 -14.1%
OPEN → NOW1.98 → 1.70배당 업데이트 2026-10-04 15:42:19
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Walter FerrettiL · 2-3D · 1-1L · 1-0L · 0-1W · 1-3
JalapaL · 3-1D · 1-1L · 2-0L · 0-1L · 2-1
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME72 SNAPSHOTS
-12.55%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW72 SNAPSHOTS
+7.27%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY72 SNAPSHOTS
+18.28%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-19 12:16:09 | 1.97 | 3.35 | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-20 00:32:36 | 1.80 | 3.31 | 3.84 |
| 2026-09-20 00:32:37 | 1.79 | 3.52 | 4.08 |
| 2026-09-20 01:02:28 | 1.79 | 3.36 | 3.91 |
| 2026-09-20 01:02:29 | 1.81 | 3.53 | 4.08 |
| 2026-09-20 01:32:20 | 1.79 | 3.42 | 3.96 |
| 2026-09-20 02:02:26 | 1.79 | 3.42 | 3.96 |
| 2026-09-20 02:32:20 | 1.79 | 3.42 | 3.96 |
| 2026-09-20 03:02:36 | 1.82 | 3.28 | 3.83 |
| 2026-09-20 03:02:37 | 1.76 | 3.44 | 3.99 |
| 2026-09-20 03:02:38 | 1.81 | 3.53 | 4.08 |
| 2026-09-20 03:04:15 | 1.77 | 3.42 | 4.05 |
| 2026-09-20 03:34:11 | 1.80 | 3.28 | 3.88 |
| 2026-09-20 03:34:12 | 1.76 | 3.50 | 4.14 |
| 2026-09-20 04:04:12 | 1.77 | 3.42 | 4.05 |
| 2026-09-20 04:32:53 | 1.78 | 3.42 | 4.05 |
| 2026-09-20 05:03:15 | 1.78 | 3.42 | 4.05 |
| 2026-09-20 05:33:10 | 1.78 | 3.42 | 4.05 |
| 2026-09-20 06:03:42 | 1.78 | 3.42 | 4.05 |
| 2026-09-20 06:33:42 | 1.78 | 3.42 | 4.05 |
| 2026-09-20 07:04:18 | 1.78 | 3.32 | 3.97 |
| 2026-09-20 07:04:19 | 1.78 | 3.49 | 4.11 |
| 2026-09-20 07:34:52 | 1.77 | 3.37 | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-20 07:34:53 | 1.80 | 3.52 | 4.13 |
| 2026-09-20 08:13:07 | 1.78 | 3.32 | 3.91 |
| 2026-09-20 08:13:08 | 1.79 | 3.52 | 4.10 |
| 2026-09-20 08:52:49 | 1.78 | 3.43 | 4.02 |
| 2026-09-20 09:33:31 | 1.78 | 3.43 | 4.02 |
| 2026-09-20 09:33:38 | 1.78 | 3.43 | 4.02 |
| 2026-09-20 10:12:34 | 1.78 | 3.43 | 4.02 |
| 2026-09-20 10:12:36 | 1.78 | 3.43 | 4.02 |
| 2026-09-20 10:53:11 | 1.78 | 3.43 | 4.02 |
| 2026-09-20 11:33:39 | 1.78 | 3.43 | 4.02 |
| 2026-09-20 12:22:03 | 1.77 | 3.38 | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-20 12:22:04 | 1.81 | 3.48 | 4.11 |
| 2026-09-20 13:02:02 | 1.79 | 3.42 | 4.01 |
| 2026-09-20 13:42:03 | 1.79 | 3.42 | 4.01 |
| 2026-09-20 14:22:03 | 1.79 | 3.42 | 4.01 |
| 2026-09-20 15:02:04 | 1.77 | 3.42 | 3.97 |
| 2026-09-20 15:02:05 | 1.84 | 3.44 | 4.10 |
| 2026-09-20 18:42:32 | 1.77 | 3.38 | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-20 18:42:33 | 1.81 | 3.48 | 4.11 |
| 2026-09-20 19:22:27 | 1.80 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| 2026-09-20 19:22:28 | 1.78 | 3.45 | 4.00 |
| 2026-09-20 19:22:29 | 1.82 | 3.40 | 4.05 |
| 2026-09-20 20:02:10 | 1.79 | 3.42 | 4.01 |
| 2026-10-03 12:15:07 | 1.70 | 3.64 | 4.28 |
| 2026-10-04 09:13:05 | 1.72 | 3.59 | 4.12 |
| 2026-10-04 09:33:24 | 1.72 | 3.59 | 4.12 |
| 2026-10-04 10:02:20 | 1.72 | 3.59 | 4.12 |
| 2026-10-04 10:23:08 | 1.70 | 3.55 | 4.09 |
| 2026-10-04 10:23:09 | 1.75 | 3.66 | 4.16 |
| 2026-10-04 10:42:17 | 1.70 | 3.55 | 4.15 |
| 2026-10-04 10:42:18 | 1.78 | 3.68 | 4.11 |
| 2026-10-04 11:02:35 | 1.73 | 3.59 | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-04 11:23:16 | 1.70 | 3.55 | 4.15 |
| 2026-10-04 11:23:17 | 1.78 | 3.68 | 4.11 |
| 2026-10-04 11:42:17 | 1.73 | 3.59 | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-04 12:02:26 | 1.70 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| 2026-10-04 12:02:27 | 1.74 | 3.59 | 4.19 |
| 2026-10-04 12:23:11 | 1.73 | 3.59 | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-04 12:43:03 | 1.73 | 3.59 | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-04 13:02:44 | 1.73 | 3.59 | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-04 13:22:46 | 1.73 | 3.59 | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-04 13:42:32 | 1.73 | 3.59 | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-04 14:02:18 | 1.73 | 3.59 | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-04 14:22:51 | 1.73 | 3.59 | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-04 14:42:18 | 1.73 | 3.59 | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-04 15:02:42 | 1.70 | 3.57 | 4.10 |
| 2026-10-04 15:02:43 | 1.77 | 3.62 | 4.18 |
| 2026-10-04 15:22:36 | 1.73 | 3.59 | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-04 15:42:19 | 1.73 | 3.59 | 4.14 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.10.04 | Walter Ferretti | 2 : 2 | Jalapa |
| 2026.07.19 | Jalapa | 1 : 0 | Walter Ferretti |