LIVE 152 오늘 1,947경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기
J1 League Japan · Regular Season - 8
V-varen NagasakiHOME · 3.30
1 : 12026.09.19 · 종료
Cerezo OsakaAWAY · 2.07
HOME · 현재 순위 14위 승점 7 · 7경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 10위 승점 10 · 7경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME47.2%
DRAW24.2%
AWAY28.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH85 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100
AI PICK HOME 39.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +19.0%
VALUE EDGE+19.0%
FAIR ODDS2.12
GRADES
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 91/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +20.3%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +11.1%p
STANDING_PPG AWAY -7.8%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +2.7%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE
V-varen Nagasaki분석 지표Cerezo Osaka
41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 66.7%
1.25 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.67
1.67 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.17
60.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 60.0%
7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.0일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

85/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본10.0 / 10
모델 일치도10.3 / 15
예측 분리도8.0 / 15
데이터 신선도10.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME28.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승24.5%표본 110경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 4경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승48.5%현재 이동 -5.7%
OPEN → NOW3.50 → 3.30배당 업데이트 2026-09-19 23:42:07

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
47.2%
DRAW
24.2%
AWAY
28.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
V-varen Nagasaki
W · 2-0W · 0-1L · 3-1D · 2-2L · 0-3
Cerezo Osaka
L · 6-1D · 0-0W · 2-0L · 1-0W · 3-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+8.0%+4.0%0.0%-4.0%-8.0%09/18 00:1509/19 05:3309/19 12:5509/19 18:5509/19 23:42HOME · 배당 3.51 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-18 00:15:27HOME · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -0.06% · 2026-09-19 00:12:31HOME · 배당 3.51 · 변동 +0.03% · 2026-09-19 00:44:50HOME · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -0.11% · 2026-09-19 00:44:51HOME · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -0.06% · 2026-09-19 01:13:36HOME · 배당 3.48 · 변동 -0.85% · 2026-09-19 01:44:03HOME · 배당 3.60 · 변동 +2.69% · 2026-09-19 01:44:04HOME · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -0.06% · 2026-09-19 02:13:20HOME · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -0.06% · 2026-09-19 02:43:55HOME · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -0.06% · 2026-09-19 03:12:41HOME · 배당 3.54 · 변동 +0.89% · 2026-09-19 03:43:10HOME · 배당 3.44 · 변동 -1.97% · 2026-09-19 03:43:11HOME · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -0.06% · 2026-09-19 04:12:27HOME · 배당 3.51 · 변동 -0.02% · 2026-09-19 04:53:30HOME · 배당 3.49 · 변동 -0.56% · 2026-09-19 04:53:31HOME · 배당 3.49 · 변동 -0.32% · 2026-09-19 05:33:16HOME · 배당 3.51 · 변동 -0.02% · 2026-09-19 06:13:24HOME · 배당 3.49 · 변동 -0.56% · 2026-09-19 06:13:25HOME · 배당 3.49 · 변동 -0.32% · 2026-09-19 06:53:04HOME · 배당 3.49 · 변동 -0.38% · 2026-09-19 07:33:55HOME · 배당 3.49 · 변동 -0.38% · 2026-09-19 08:13:22HOME · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -0.04% · 2026-09-19 08:53:04HOME · 배당 3.48 · 변동 -0.80% · 2026-09-19 08:53:05HOME · 배당 3.52 · 변동 +0.41% · 2026-09-19 09:33:32HOME · 배당 3.44 · 변동 -1.97% · 2026-09-19 09:33:33HOME · 배당 3.51 · 변동 +0.03% · 2026-09-19 10:12:38HOME · 배당 3.49 · 변동 -0.59% · 2026-09-19 10:12:39HOME · 배당 3.49 · 변동 -0.38% · 2026-09-19 10:52:59HOME · 배당 3.49 · 변동 -0.38% · 2026-09-19 11:34:21HOME · 배당 3.49 · 변동 -0.38% · 2026-09-19 12:12:43HOME · 배당 3.49 · 변동 -0.38% · 2026-09-19 12:55:13HOME · 배당 3.49 · 변동 -0.38% · 2026-09-19 13:34:05HOME · 배당 3.49 · 변동 -0.38% · 2026-09-19 14:12:56HOME · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -1.26% · 2026-09-19 14:54:32HOME · 배당 3.60 · 변동 +2.69% · 2026-09-19 14:54:33HOME · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -0.04% · 2026-09-19 15:33:47HOME · 배당 3.48 · 변동 -0.80% · 2026-09-19 15:33:48HOME · 배당 3.40 · 변동 -3.01% · 2026-09-19 16:14:30HOME · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -0.05% · 2026-09-19 16:14:31HOME · 배당 3.32 · 변동 -5.42% · 2026-09-19 16:54:21HOME · 배당 3.28 · 변동 -6.43% · 2026-09-19 17:35:55HOME · 배당 3.36 · 변동 -4.15% · 2026-09-19 17:35:56HOME · 배당 3.27 · 변동 -6.84% · 2026-09-19 18:15:40HOME · 배당 3.49 · 변동 -0.44% · 2026-09-19 18:15:41HOME · 배당 3.32 · 변동 -5.42% · 2026-09-19 18:55:20HOME · 배당 3.28 · 변동 -6.34% · 2026-09-19 19:42:09HOME · 배당 3.33 · 변동 -4.96% · 2026-09-19 19:42:10HOME · 배당 3.28 · 변동 -6.43% · 2026-09-19 20:22:08HOME · 배당 3.36 · 변동 -4.15% · 2026-09-19 20:22:09HOME · 배당 3.27 · 변동 -6.84% · 2026-09-19 21:02:08HOME · 배당 3.49 · 변동 -0.44% · 2026-09-19 21:02:09HOME · 배당 3.28 · 변동 -6.43% · 2026-09-19 21:42:06HOME · 배당 3.36 · 변동 -4.15% · 2026-09-19 21:42:07HOME · 배당 3.28 · 변동 -6.43% · 2026-09-19 22:22:10HOME · 배당 3.36 · 변동 -4.15% · 2026-09-19 22:22:11HOME · 배당 3.28 · 변동 -6.58% · 2026-09-19 23:02:06HOME · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -5.86% · 2026-09-19 23:02:07HOME · 배당 3.36 · 변동 -4.06% · 2026-09-19 23:02:08HOME · 배당 3.28 · 변동 -6.58% · 2026-09-19 23:42:06HOME · 배당 3.33 · 변동 -5.09% · 2026-09-19 23:42:07DRAW · 배당 3.50 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-18 00:15:27DRAW · 배당 3.52 · 변동 +0.57% · 2026-09-19 00:12:31DRAW · 배당 3.47 · 변동 -0.70% · 2026-09-19 00:44:50DRAW · 배당 3.54 · 변동 +1.21% · 2026-09-19 00:44:51DRAW · 배당 3.52 · 변동 +0.57% · 2026-09-19 01:13:36DRAW · 배당 3.51 · 변동 +0.31% · 2026-09-19 01:44:03DRAW · 배당 3.55 · 변동 +1.49% · 2026-09-19 01:44:04DRAW · 배당 3.52 · 변동 +0.57% · 2026-09-19 02:13:20DRAW · 배당 3.52 · 변동 +0.57% · 2026-09-19 02:43:55DRAW · 배당 3.52 · 변동 +0.57% · 2026-09-19 03:12:41DRAW · 배당 3.57 · 변동 +1.92% · 2026-09-19 03:43:10DRAW · 배당 3.42 · 변동 -2.13% · 2026-09-19 03:43:11DRAW · 배당 3.52 · 변동 +0.57% · 2026-09-19 04:12:27DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 +0.92% · 2026-09-19 04:53:30DRAW · 배당 3.50 · 변동 +0.18% · 2026-09-19 04:53:31DRAW · 배당 3.52 · 변동 +0.51% · 2026-09-19 05:33:16DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 +0.92% · 2026-09-19 06:13:24DRAW · 배당 3.50 · 변동 +0.18% · 2026-09-19 06:13:25DRAW · 배당 3.52 · 변동 +0.51% · 2026-09-19 06:53:04DRAW · 배당 3.52 · 변동 +0.51% · 2026-09-19 07:33:55DRAW · 배당 3.52 · 변동 +0.51% · 2026-09-19 08:13:22DRAW · 배당 3.54 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-09-19 08:53:04DRAW · 배당 3.48 · 변동 -0.51% · 2026-09-19 08:53:05DRAW · 배당 3.56 · 변동 +1.83% · 2026-09-19 09:33:32DRAW · 배당 3.42 · 변동 -2.13% · 2026-09-19 09:33:33DRAW · 배당 3.47 · 변동 -0.70% · 2026-09-19 10:12:38DRAW · 배당 3.54 · 변동 +1.11% · 2026-09-19 10:12:39DRAW · 배당 3.52 · 변동 +0.51% · 2026-09-19 10:52:59DRAW · 배당 3.52 · 변동 +0.51% · 2026-09-19 11:34:21DRAW · 배당 3.52 · 변동 +0.51% · 2026-09-19 12:12:43DRAW · 배당 3.52 · 변동 +0.51% · 2026-09-19 12:55:13DRAW · 배당 3.52 · 변동 +0.51% · 2026-09-19 13:34:05DRAW · 배당 3.52 · 변동 +0.51% · 2026-09-19 14:12:56DRAW · 배당 3.51 · 변동 +0.23% · 2026-09-19 14:54:32DRAW · 배당 3.55 · 변동 +1.49% · 2026-09-19 14:54:33DRAW · 배당 3.54 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-09-19 15:33:47DRAW · 배당 3.48 · 변동 -0.51% · 2026-09-19 15:33:48DRAW · 배당 3.40 · 변동 -2.80% · 2026-09-19 16:14:30DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 +0.92% · 2026-09-19 16:14:31DRAW · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.98% · 2026-09-19 16:54:21DRAW · 배당 3.47 · 변동 -0.74% · 2026-09-19 17:35:55DRAW · 배당 3.45 · 변동 -1.29% · 2026-09-19 17:35:56DRAW · 배당 3.45 · 변동 -1.49% · 2026-09-19 18:15:40DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 +0.78% · 2026-09-19 18:15:41DRAW · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.98% · 2026-09-19 18:55:20DRAW · 배당 3.39 · 변동 -3.18% · 2026-09-19 19:42:09DRAW · 배당 3.50 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-19 19:42:10DRAW · 배당 3.47 · 변동 -0.74% · 2026-09-19 20:22:08DRAW · 배당 3.45 · 변동 -1.29% · 2026-09-19 20:22:09DRAW · 배당 3.45 · 변동 -1.49% · 2026-09-19 21:02:08DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 +0.78% · 2026-09-19 21:02:09DRAW · 배당 3.47 · 변동 -0.74% · 2026-09-19 21:42:06DRAW · 배당 3.45 · 변동 -1.29% · 2026-09-19 21:42:07DRAW · 배당 3.47 · 변동 -0.74% · 2026-09-19 22:22:10DRAW · 배당 3.45 · 변동 -1.29% · 2026-09-19 22:22:11DRAW · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -4.22% · 2026-09-19 23:02:06DRAW · 배당 3.56 · 변동 +1.85% · 2026-09-19 23:02:07DRAW · 배당 3.41 · 변동 -2.60% · 2026-09-19 23:02:08DRAW · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -4.22% · 2026-09-19 23:42:06DRAW · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -0.06% · 2026-09-19 23:42:07AWAY · 배당 1.99 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-18 00:15:27AWAY · 배당 2.00 · 변동 +0.50% · 2026-09-19 00:12:31AWAY · 배당 1.99 · 변동 +0.22% · 2026-09-19 00:44:50AWAY · 배당 2.00 · 변동 +0.64% · 2026-09-19 00:44:51AWAY · 배당 2.00 · 변동 +0.50% · 2026-09-19 01:13:36AWAY · 배당 2.00 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-09-19 01:44:03AWAY · 배당 2.01 · 변동 +0.81% · 2026-09-19 01:44:04AWAY · 배당 2.00 · 변동 +0.50% · 2026-09-19 02:13:20AWAY · 배당 2.00 · 변동 +0.50% · 2026-09-19 02:43:55AWAY · 배당 2.00 · 변동 +0.50% · 2026-09-19 03:12:41AWAY · 배당 1.99 · 변동 +0.14% · 2026-09-19 03:43:10AWAY · 배당 2.01 · 변동 +1.23% · 2026-09-19 03:43:11AWAY · 배당 2.00 · 변동 +0.50% · 2026-09-19 04:12:27AWAY · 배당 1.97 · 변동 -0.82% · 2026-09-19 04:53:30AWAY · 배당 2.03 · 변동 +1.87% · 2026-09-19 04:53:31AWAY · 배당 2.00 · 변동 +0.67% · 2026-09-19 05:33:16AWAY · 배당 1.97 · 변동 -0.82% · 2026-09-19 06:13:24AWAY · 배당 2.03 · 변동 +1.87% · 2026-09-19 06:13:25AWAY · 배당 2.00 · 변동 +0.67% · 2026-09-19 06:53:04AWAY · 배당 2.00 · 변동 +0.73% · 2026-09-19 07:33:55AWAY · 배당 2.00 · 변동 +0.73% · 2026-09-19 08:13:22AWAY · 배당 1.99 · 변동 -0.04% · 2026-09-19 08:53:04AWAY · 배당 2.02 · 변동 +1.69% · 2026-09-19 08:53:05AWAY · 배당 2.00 · 변동 +0.47% · 2026-09-19 09:33:32AWAY · 배당 2.01 · 변동 +1.23% · 2026-09-19 09:33:33AWAY · 배당 1.99 · 변동 +0.22% · 2026-09-19 10:12:38AWAY · 배당 2.01 · 변동 +0.98% · 2026-09-19 10:12:39AWAY · 배당 2.00 · 변동 +0.73% · 2026-09-19 10:52:59AWAY · 배당 2.00 · 변동 +0.73% · 2026-09-19 11:34:21AWAY · 배당 2.00 · 변동 +0.73% · 2026-09-19 12:12:43AWAY · 배당 2.00 · 변동 +0.73% · 2026-09-19 12:55:13AWAY · 배당 2.00 · 변동 +0.73% · 2026-09-19 13:34:05AWAY · 배당 2.00 · 변동 +0.73% · 2026-09-19 14:12:56AWAY · 배당 2.00 · 변동 +0.70% · 2026-09-19 14:54:32AWAY · 배당 2.01 · 변동 +0.81% · 2026-09-19 14:54:33AWAY · 배당 1.99 · 변동 -0.04% · 2026-09-19 15:33:47AWAY · 배당 2.02 · 변동 +1.69% · 2026-09-19 15:33:48AWAY · 배당 2.00 · 변동 +0.56% · 2026-09-19 16:14:30AWAY · 배당 2.00 · 변동 +0.75% · 2026-09-19 16:14:31AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +4.69% · 2026-09-19 16:54:21AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +4.78% · 2026-09-19 17:35:55AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +4.58% · 2026-09-19 17:35:56AWAY · 배당 2.09 · 변동 +5.16% · 2026-09-19 18:15:40AWAY · 배당 2.05 · 변동 +3.07% · 2026-09-19 18:15:41AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +4.69% · 2026-09-19 18:55:20AWAY · 배당 2.09 · 변동 +5.08% · 2026-09-19 19:42:09AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +4.50% · 2026-09-19 19:42:10AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +4.78% · 2026-09-19 20:22:08AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +4.58% · 2026-09-19 20:22:09AWAY · 배당 2.09 · 변동 +5.16% · 2026-09-19 21:02:08AWAY · 배당 2.05 · 변동 +3.07% · 2026-09-19 21:02:09AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +4.78% · 2026-09-19 21:42:06AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +4.58% · 2026-09-19 21:42:07AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +4.78% · 2026-09-19 22:22:10AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +4.58% · 2026-09-19 22:22:11AWAY · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +5.59% · 2026-09-19 23:02:06AWAY · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +5.71% · 2026-09-19 23:02:07AWAY · 배당 2.04 · 변동 +2.74% · 2026-09-19 23:02:08AWAY · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +5.59% · 2026-09-19 23:42:06AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +4.44% · 2026-09-19 23:42:07
HOME60 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.51
→
CURRENT3.33
-5.09%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW60 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.50
→
CURRENT3.50
-0.06%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY60 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN1.99
→
CURRENT2.08
+4.44%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-09-18 00:15:273.513.501.99
2026-09-19 00:12:313.503.522.00
2026-09-19 00:44:503.513.471.99
2026-09-19 00:44:513.503.542.00
2026-09-19 01:13:363.503.522.00
2026-09-19 01:44:033.483.512.00
2026-09-19 01:44:043.603.552.01
2026-09-19 02:13:203.503.522.00
2026-09-19 02:43:553.503.522.00
2026-09-19 03:12:413.503.522.00
2026-09-19 03:43:103.543.571.99
2026-09-19 03:43:113.443.422.01
2026-09-19 04:12:273.503.522.00
2026-09-19 04:53:303.513.531.97
2026-09-19 04:53:313.493.502.03
2026-09-19 05:33:163.493.522.00
2026-09-19 06:13:243.513.531.97
2026-09-19 06:13:253.493.502.03
2026-09-19 06:53:043.493.522.00
2026-09-19 07:33:553.493.522.00
2026-09-19 08:13:223.493.522.00
2026-09-19 08:53:043.503.541.99
2026-09-19 08:53:053.483.482.02
2026-09-19 09:33:323.523.562.00
2026-09-19 09:33:333.443.422.01
2026-09-19 10:12:383.513.471.99
2026-09-19 10:12:393.493.542.01
2026-09-19 10:52:593.493.522.00
2026-09-19 11:34:213.493.522.00
2026-09-19 12:12:433.493.522.00
2026-09-19 12:55:133.493.522.00
2026-09-19 13:34:053.493.522.00
2026-09-19 14:12:563.493.522.00
2026-09-19 14:54:323.463.512.00
2026-09-19 14:54:333.603.552.01
2026-09-19 15:33:473.503.541.99
2026-09-19 15:33:483.483.482.02
2026-09-19 16:14:303.403.402.00
2026-09-19 16:14:313.503.532.00
2026-09-19 16:54:213.323.462.08
2026-09-19 17:35:553.283.472.08
2026-09-19 17:35:563.363.452.08
2026-09-19 18:15:403.273.452.09
2026-09-19 18:15:413.493.532.05
2026-09-19 18:55:203.323.462.08
2026-09-19 19:42:093.283.392.09
2026-09-19 19:42:103.333.502.08
2026-09-19 20:22:083.283.472.08
2026-09-19 20:22:093.363.452.08
2026-09-19 21:02:083.273.452.09
2026-09-19 21:02:093.493.532.05
2026-09-19 21:42:063.283.472.08
2026-09-19 21:42:073.363.452.08
2026-09-19 22:22:103.283.472.08
2026-09-19 22:22:113.363.452.08
2026-09-19 23:02:063.283.352.10
2026-09-19 23:02:073.303.562.10
2026-09-19 23:02:083.363.412.04
2026-09-19 23:42:063.283.352.10
2026-09-19 23:42:073.333.502.08

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.09.19V-varen Nagasaki1 : 1Cerezo Osaka
2026.05.09Cerezo Osaka3 : 2V-varen Nagasaki
2026.02.28V-varen Nagasaki1 : 0Cerezo Osaka