경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
J1 League
Japan · Regular Season - 8

Avispa FukuokaHOME · 4.75
0 : 12026.09.19 · 종료
Sanfrecce HiroshimaAWAY · 1.68

HOME · 현재 순위
18위
승점 4
· 7경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
4위
승점 14
· 7경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME23.7%
DRAW21.0%
AWAY55.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH93 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME19.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승17.5%표본 40경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 4경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승31.9%현재 이동 +21.8%
OPEN → NOW3.90 → 4.75배당 업데이트 2026-09-19 23:34:06
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Avispa FukuokaL · 1-0D · 1-1L · 2-3L · 2-1D · 0-0
Sanfrecce HiroshimaW · 6-1L · 3-2W · 3-0D · 0-0W · 4-1
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME54 SNAPSHOTS
+20.74%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW54 SNAPSHOTS
+6.68%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY54 SNAPSHOTS
-9.04%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-18 00:15:27 | 3.87 | 3.57 | 1.86 |
| 2026-09-19 00:12:29 | 4.62 | 3.81 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 00:44:45 | 4.66 | 3.82 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 00:44:46 | 4.58 | 3.79 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-19 01:13:31 | 4.58 | 3.75 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-19 01:13:32 | 4.64 | 3.82 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 01:43:57 | 4.63 | 3.80 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 01:43:58 | 4.62 | 3.81 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-19 02:13:18 | 4.62 | 3.81 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 02:43:51 | 4.62 | 3.81 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 03:12:39 | 4.62 | 3.81 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 03:43:07 | 4.62 | 3.81 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 04:12:26 | 4.62 | 3.81 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 04:53:25 | 4.63 | 3.80 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 04:53:26 | 4.61 | 3.82 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-19 05:33:14 | 4.62 | 3.81 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 06:13:21 | 4.62 | 3.81 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 06:53:01 | 4.40 | 3.70 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-19 06:53:02 | 4.65 | 3.83 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 07:33:50 | 4.40 | 3.70 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-19 07:33:51 | 4.67 | 3.84 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 08:13:19 | 4.67 | 3.82 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 08:13:20 | 4.60 | 3.82 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-19 08:53:02 | 4.64 | 3.82 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 09:33:29 | 4.64 | 3.82 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 10:12:37 | 4.64 | 3.82 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 10:52:58 | 4.64 | 3.82 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 11:34:17 | 4.64 | 3.82 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-19 11:34:18 | 4.65 | 3.85 | 1.67 |
| 2026-09-19 12:12:42 | 4.64 | 3.82 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 12:55:07 | 4.64 | 3.82 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 13:34:00 | 4.64 | 3.82 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 14:12:55 | 4.64 | 3.82 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 14:54:28 | 4.64 | 3.82 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 15:33:45 | 4.64 | 3.81 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 15:33:46 | 4.64 | 3.83 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-19 16:14:29 | 4.64 | 3.82 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 16:54:18 | 4.67 | 3.81 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 17:35:49 | 4.67 | 3.81 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 18:15:35 | 4.66 | 3.80 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 18:15:36 | 4.71 | 3.87 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-19 18:55:13 | 4.66 | 3.80 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 18:55:14 | 4.71 | 3.87 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-19 19:35:22 | 4.58 | 3.75 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-19 19:35:23 | 4.80 | 3.86 | 1.67 |
| 2026-09-19 19:35:24 | 4.62 | 3.81 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 20:15:03 | 4.66 | 3.80 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 20:15:04 | 4.71 | 3.87 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-19 20:54:35 | 4.67 | 3.81 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 21:34:31 | 4.67 | 3.81 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 22:14:12 | 4.71 | 3.82 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-19 22:14:13 | 4.62 | 3.81 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 22:54:40 | 4.67 | 3.81 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 23:34:05 | 4.67 | 3.81 | 1.69 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 0 : 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| 2026.04.29 | Avispa Fukuoka | 2 : 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| 2026.04.05 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0 : 1 | Avispa Fukuoka |
| 2025.09.27 | Avispa Fukuoka | 1 : 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| 2025.05.03 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2 : 1 | Avispa Fukuoka |
| 2024.07.14 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1 : 0 | Avispa Fukuoka |
| 2024.04.13 | Avispa Fukuoka | 1 : 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |