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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Asian Games Women Asia
Hong Kong WHOME · -
104 : 282014.09.26 · 종료
Nepal WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME78.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW50 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 63/100
AI PICK HOME 78.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +78.3%
VALUE EDGE+78.3%
FAIR ODDS1.28
GRADEC
Hong Kong WAnalysis MetricsNepal W
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-23.33 Point MarginHigher is better -28.67
131.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 93.33
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

50/100 LOW
Data coverage12.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form9.4 / 10
Historical sample6.3 / 10
Model agreement5.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence3.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
78.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
21.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hong Kong W
L · 53-81W · 64-68
Nepal W
W · 20-0L · 106-35

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2014.09.26Hong Kong W104 : 28Nepal W