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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Asian Games Women Asia · Asian Games Women - Final
China WHOME · -
74 : 722023.10.05 · 종료
Japan WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 68.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +69.7%
VALUE EDGE+69.7%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADEA
China WAnalysis MetricsJapan W
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+23.83 Point MarginHigher is better +17.83
151.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 143.33
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
2.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
69.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
30.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
China W
W · 44-100W · 104-60W · 111-53W · 52-101W · 101-46
Japan W
W · 81-58W · 47-89W · 96-59W · 30-92W · 118-46

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.10.05China W74 : 72Japan W
2021.10.03Japan W78 : 73China W
2017.07.28China W71 : 74Japan W
2015.09.05Japan W85 : 50China W
2015.09.01Japan W57 : 56China W