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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Asian Games Women Asia
Philippines WHOME · -
83 : 592023.09.27 · 종료
Kazakhstan WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME44.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +55.4%
VALUE EDGE+55.4%
FAIR ODDS1.81
GRADEA
Philippines WAnalysis MetricsKazakhstan W
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+6.83 Point MarginHigher is better -4.58
156.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 117.75
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.8 / 15
Prediction separation4.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
44.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
55.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Philippines W
W · 63-77W · 82-70W · 58-116L · 68-89W · 63-94
Kazakhstan W
W · 78-50L · 68-55W · 65-73W · 48-99W · 68-47

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.09.17Philippines W86 : 58Kazakhstan W
2023.09.27Philippines W83 : 59Kazakhstan W