Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Asian Games Women
Asia
Japan WHOME · -
118 : 462023.09.27 · 종료
Hong Kong WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME88.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 89.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADEA
Japan WAnalysis MetricsHong Kong W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+15.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.00
143.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
128.67
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Japan W
W · 78-73W · 67-65W · 67-62W · 50-62W · 136-46
Hong Kong W
L · 66-43L · 75-62L · 61-78W · 72-52L · 48-99
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.17 | Japan W | 114 : 37 | Hong Kong W |
| 2023.09.27 | Japan W | 118 : 46 | Hong Kong W |