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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Asian Games Asia · Asian Games - Final
South KoreaHOME · -
79 : 772014.10.03 · 종료
IranAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME41.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY58.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 54.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +58.8%
VALUE EDGE+58.8%
FAIR ODDS1.70
GRADEA
South KoreaAnalysis MetricsIran
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+16.75 Point MarginHigher is better -0.17
160.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 139.50
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
1.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.9 / 15
Prediction separation7.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
41.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
58.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
South Korea
W · 71-63W · 65-58W · 97-95W · 60-77W · 98-69
Iran
W · 80-78W · 75-67W · 69-107W · 82-59W · 68-63

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.09.18South Korea77 : 51Iran
2016.09.19South Korea47 : 77Iran
2016.09.14Iran85 : 47South Korea
2014.10.03South Korea79 : 77Iran
2013.08.02South Korea65 : 76Iran