Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Asian Games
Asia · Asian Games - 3rd place
JapanHOME · -
76 : 722014.10.03 · 종료
KazakhstanAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME65.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
85/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+65.4%
VALUE EDGE+65.4%
FAIR ODDS1.53
GRADEA
JapanAnalysis MetricsKazakhstan
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+14.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.83
165.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
145.33
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
1.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation13.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Japan
L · 71-63W · 70-96W · 79-72L · 82-59L · 71-72
Kazakhstan
L · 80-78L · 67-65W · 57-65L · 60-77L · 59-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014.10.03 | Japan | 76 : 72 | Kazakhstan |