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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Asian Games Asia · Asian Games - Semi-finals
IranHOME · -
80 : 782014.10.01 · 종료
KazakhstanAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME82.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY17.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 84.2% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +82.3%
VALUE EDGE+82.3%
FAIR ODDS1.22
GRADEA
IranAnalysis MetricsKazakhstan
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-0.17 Point MarginHigher is better -6.83
139.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 145.33
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
3.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
82.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
17.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Iran
W · 75-67W · 69-107W · 82-59W · 68-63W · 41-76
Kazakhstan
L · 67-65W · 57-65L · 60-77L · 59-76W · 68-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.02.25Kazakhstan45 : 88Iran
2024.11.22Iran20 : 0Kazakhstan
2014.10.01Iran80 : 78Kazakhstan
2013.08.07Iran85 : 53Kazakhstan