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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Asian Games Asia · Asian Games - Semi-finals
South KoreaHOME · -
71 : 632014.10.01 · 종료
JapanAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME72.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 73.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +72.5%
VALUE EDGE+72.5%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADEA
South KoreaAnalysis MetricsJapan
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+16.75 Point MarginHigher is better +14.08
160.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.75
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
72.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
27.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
South Korea
W · 65-58W · 97-95W · 60-77W · 98-69W · 67-90
Japan
W · 70-96W · 79-72L · 82-59L · 71-72W · 75-89

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.09.20Japan57 : 67South Korea
2026.09.13Japan83 : 100South Korea
2017.06.03Japan78 : 72South Korea
2016.09.09Japan73 : 80South Korea
2014.10.01South Korea71 : 63Japan
2010.11.25South Korea55 : 51Japan