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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Asian Games Asia · Asian Games - 7th place
PhilippinesHOME · -
84 : 682014.10.01 · 종료
MongoliaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK HOME 67.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +68.7%
VALUE EDGE+68.7%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADEB
PhilippinesAnalysis MetricsMongolia
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-1.42 Point MarginHigher is better +2.17
161.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 145.83
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

64/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
68.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
31.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Philippines
L · 78-71W · 67-65L · 97-95L · 68-77L · 68-63
Mongolia
L · 87-78L · 70-96L · 69-107L · 108-67L · 67-90

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2014.10.01Philippines84 : 68Mongolia