Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Asian Games Asia · Asian Games - Semi-finals

ChinaHOME · -

78 : 712014.09.29 · 종료

PhilippinesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME72.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY27.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 73.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +72.4%

VALUE EDGE+72.4%

FAIR ODDS1.38

GRADES

ChinaAnalysis MetricsPhilippines

75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+15.00 Point MarginHigher is better -1.42

163.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.75

87.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%

1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.6 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

72.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

27.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

China

L · 75-67L · 79-72W · 108-67W · 59-58W · 59-76

Philippines

W · 67-65L · 97-95L · 68-77L · 68-63W · 85-76

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.09.14	China	105 : 61	Philippines
2016.09.12	China	75 : 65	Philippines
2014.09.29	China	78 : 71	Philippines
2014.07.19	Philippines	80 : 79	China
2012.09.14	Philippines	68 : 71	China